Current short-range ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Moscow high near 22–23°C for August 18 under typical late-summer synoptic conditions. Modest solar insolation, light variable winds, and patchy cloud cover are expected to limit stronger daytime heating, keeping temperatures within the historical 20–24°C climatological range for the date. The near-even split in trader probabilities between 22°C and 23°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, driven by minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and any weak frontal influences that could add or subtract 1°C. Lower odds on 24°C or higher underscore model consensus against significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
22°C 45%
23°C 45%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
नया
$12,486 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,486 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
45%
23°C
45%
24°C
6%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 45%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
नया
$12,486 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,486 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
18°C or below
$665 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$1,612 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$892 वॉल्यूम
2%
21°C
$1,273 वॉल्यूम
5%
22°C
$1,952 वॉल्यूम
45%
23°C
$1,449 वॉल्यूम
45%
24°C
$1,735 वॉल्यूम
6%
25°C
$866 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$521 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$1,236 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C or higher
$286 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Moscow high near 22–23°C for August 18 under typical late-summer synoptic conditions. Modest solar insolation, light variable winds, and patchy cloud cover are expected to limit stronger daytime heating, keeping temperatures within the historical 20–24°C climatological range for the date. The near-even split in trader probabilities between 22°C and 23°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, driven by minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and any weak frontal influences that could add or subtract 1°C. Lower odds on 24°C or higher underscore model consensus against significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,486समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Moscow high near 22–23°C for August 18 under typical late-summer synoptic conditions. Modest solar insolation, light variable winds, and patchy cloud cover are expected to limit stronger daytime heating, keeping temperatures within the historical 20–24°C climatological range for the date. The near-even split in trader probabilities between 22°C and 23°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, driven by minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and any weak frontal influences that could add or subtract 1°C. Lower odds on 24°C or higher underscore model consensus against significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$12,486समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Moscow high near 22–23°C for August 18 under typical late-summer synoptic conditions. Modest solar insolation, light variable winds, and patchy cloud cover are expected to limit stronger daytime heating, keeping temperatures within the historical 20–24°C climatological range for the date. The near-even split in trader probabilities between 22°C and 23°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, driven by minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and any weak frontal influences that could add or subtract 1°C. Lower odds on 24°C or higher underscore model consensus against significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न