Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes clustered around 30 °C (39.5% implied probability). Summer climatology in the region features typical Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine, moderate humidity, and light southerly or variable winds that limit rapid warming or cooling. Recent model runs show no strong heat advection or frontal passages expected to push temperatures above 31 °C or below 29 °C, keeping extremes low-probability. Historical August highs average near 28–30 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance reinforces without notable deviations. Updated model outputs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 40%
29°C 26%
31°C 24%
28°C 8%
नया
$27,637 वॉल्यूम
नया
$27,637 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
26%
30°C
40%
31°C
24%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 40%
29°C 26%
31°C 24%
28°C 8%
नया
$27,637 वॉल्यूम
नया
$27,637 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
24°C or below
$292 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$1,140 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$864 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$1,679 वॉल्यूम
2%
28°C
$2,231 वॉल्यूम
8%
29°C
$4,699 वॉल्यूम
26%
30°C
$4,455 वॉल्यूम
40%
31°C
$5,748 वॉल्यूम
24%
32°C
$2,889 वॉल्यूम
7%
33°C
$1,769 वॉल्यूम
1%
34°C or higher
$1,869 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes clustered around 30 °C (39.5% implied probability). Summer climatology in the region features typical Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine, moderate humidity, and light southerly or variable winds that limit rapid warming or cooling. Recent model runs show no strong heat advection or frontal passages expected to push temperatures above 31 °C or below 29 °C, keeping extremes low-probability. Historical August highs average near 28–30 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance reinforces without notable deviations. Updated model outputs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,637समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes clustered around 30 °C (39.5% implied probability). Summer climatology in the region features typical Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine, moderate humidity, and light southerly or variable winds that limit rapid warming or cooling. Recent model runs show no strong heat advection or frontal passages expected to push temperatures above 31 °C or below 29 °C, keeping extremes low-probability. Historical August highs average near 28–30 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance reinforces without notable deviations. Updated model outputs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$27,637समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes clustered around 30 °C (39.5% implied probability). Summer climatology in the region features typical Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine, moderate humidity, and light southerly or variable winds that limit rapid warming or cooling. Recent model runs show no strong heat advection or frontal passages expected to push temperatures above 31 °C or below 29 °C, keeping extremes low-probability. Historical August highs average near 28–30 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance reinforces without notable deviations. Updated model outputs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न