Renato Casagrande maintains an 87% implied probability of finishing first in the Espírito Santo Senate race, reflecting consistent leads of 24-32% in July 2026 polling that place him well ahead of a fragmented field. As former governor who resigned in April 2026 to pursue the seat, he benefits from high statewide name recognition, prior executive experience, and party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 election. The two available seats feature a crowded contest among incumbents and challengers such as Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Evair de Melo, Rose de Freitas, and others, most polling in low single digits with high undecided shares. This positioning concentrates trader consensus on Casagrande while spreading lower probabilities across the remaining candidates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारेणाटो कासाग्रांदे 89%
लियोनार्डो मॉनजार्डिम 5.9%
फाबियानो कॉन्टाराटो 3.6%
कैललेगारी 3.5%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
रेणाटो कासाग्रांदे
89%
लियोनार्डो मॉनजार्डिम
6%
फाबियानो कॉन्टाराटो
4%
कैललेगारी
4%
एवायर डी मेलो
4%
मागुन्हा माल्टा
3%
रोडनी मिरांडा
3%
सर्जियो मेनेगुएली
2%
रोज़ डे फ़्रीटास
2%
प्रोफेसर फैबियन
2%
मार्कोस डू वाल
2%
रेणाटो कासाग्रांदे 89%
लियोनार्डो मॉनजार्डिम 5.9%
फाबियानो कॉन्टाराटो 3.6%
कैललेगारी 3.5%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
रेणाटो कासाग्रांदे
$3,565 वॉल्यूम
89%
लियोनार्डो मॉनजार्डिम
$56 वॉल्यूम
6%
फाबियानो कॉन्टाराटो
$72 वॉल्यूम
4%
कैललेगारी
$63 वॉल्यूम
4%
एवायर डी मेलो
$56 वॉल्यूम
4%
मागुन्हा माल्टा
$75 वॉल्यूम
3%
रोडनी मिरांडा
$74 वॉल्यूम
3%
सर्जियो मेनेगुएली
$76 वॉल्यूम
2%
रोज़ डे फ़्रीटास
$56 वॉल्यूम
2%
प्रोफेसर फैबियन
$72 वॉल्यूम
2%
मार्कोस डू वाल
$75 वॉल्यूम
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande maintains an 87% implied probability of finishing first in the Espírito Santo Senate race, reflecting consistent leads of 24-32% in July 2026 polling that place him well ahead of a fragmented field. As former governor who resigned in April 2026 to pursue the seat, he benefits from high statewide name recognition, prior executive experience, and party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 election. The two available seats feature a crowded contest among incumbents and challengers such as Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Evair de Melo, Rose de Freitas, and others, most polling in low single digits with high undecided shares. This positioning concentrates trader consensus on Casagrande while spreading lower probabilities across the remaining candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,241समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande maintains an 87% implied probability of finishing first in the Espírito Santo Senate race, reflecting consistent leads of 24-32% in July 2026 polling that place him well ahead of a fragmented field. As former governor who resigned in April 2026 to pursue the seat, he benefits from high statewide name recognition, prior executive experience, and party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 election. The two available seats feature a crowded contest among incumbents and challengers such as Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Evair de Melo, Rose de Freitas, and others, most polling in low single digits with high undecided shares. This positioning concentrates trader consensus on Casagrande while spreading lower probabilities across the remaining candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$4,241समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande maintains an 87% implied probability of finishing first in the Espírito Santo Senate race, reflecting consistent leads of 24-32% in July 2026 polling that place him well ahead of a fragmented field. As former governor who resigned in April 2026 to pursue the seat, he benefits from high statewide name recognition, prior executive experience, and party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 election. The two available seats feature a crowded contest among incumbents and challengers such as Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Evair de Melo, Rose de Freitas, and others, most polling in low single digits with high undecided shares. This positioning concentrates trader consensus on Casagrande while spreading lower probabilities across the remaining candidates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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