Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, where he faces Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux after both advanced from the June primary. The district's D+6 partisan voter index, reflecting a 10-point Harris margin in 2024 and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around a high probability for the Democratic nominee. Min's incumbency, combined with solid fundraising and endorsements, reinforces this edge in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment, substantial shifts in coastal Orange County turnout among key demographics, or major late-cycle developments affecting either candidate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
$14,137 वॉल्यूम
$14,137 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$14,137 वॉल्यूम
$14,137 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,261 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$10,876 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, where he faces Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux after both advanced from the June primary. The district's D+6 partisan voter index, reflecting a 10-point Harris margin in 2024 and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around a high probability for the Democratic nominee. Min's incumbency, combined with solid fundraising and endorsements, reinforces this edge in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment, substantial shifts in coastal Orange County turnout among key demographics, or major late-cycle developments affecting either candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,137समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, where he faces Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux after both advanced from the June primary. The district's D+6 partisan voter index, reflecting a 10-point Harris margin in 2024 and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around a high probability for the Democratic nominee. Min's incumbency, combined with solid fundraising and endorsements, reinforces this edge in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment, substantial shifts in coastal Orange County turnout among key demographics, or major late-cycle developments affecting either candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$14,137समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, where he faces Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux after both advanced from the June primary. The district's D+6 partisan voter index, reflecting a 10-point Harris margin in 2024 and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around a high probability for the Democratic nominee. Min's incumbency, combined with solid fundraising and endorsements, reinforces this edge in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment, substantial shifts in coastal Orange County turnout among key demographics, or major late-cycle developments affecting either candidate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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