Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding position in California’s 45th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Tran flipped the seat in 2024 and secured 53.8% in the June 2026 top-two primary against a divided Republican field led by former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo. Post-redistricting adjustments added modestly Democratic-leaning areas, shifting the district’s partisan voting index toward Democrats and prompting forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections to rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with these structural advantages, including incumbency, fundraising edges, and the absence of a unified Republican challenger capable of overcoming the district’s current lean.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-45 House Election Winner
CA-45 House Election Winner
$30,236 वॉल्यूम
$30,236 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
8%
$30,236 वॉल्यूम
$30,236 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,968 वॉल्यूम
91%
Republican Party
$13,267 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding position in California’s 45th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Tran flipped the seat in 2024 and secured 53.8% in the June 2026 top-two primary against a divided Republican field led by former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo. Post-redistricting adjustments added modestly Democratic-leaning areas, shifting the district’s partisan voting index toward Democrats and prompting forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections to rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with these structural advantages, including incumbency, fundraising edges, and the absence of a unified Republican challenger capable of overcoming the district’s current lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30,236समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding position in California’s 45th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Tran flipped the seat in 2024 and secured 53.8% in the June 2026 top-two primary against a divided Republican field led by former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo. Post-redistricting adjustments added modestly Democratic-leaning areas, shifting the district’s partisan voting index toward Democrats and prompting forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections to rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with these structural advantages, including incumbency, fundraising edges, and the absence of a unified Republican challenger capable of overcoming the district’s current lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$30,236समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding position in California’s 45th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Tran flipped the seat in 2024 and secured 53.8% in the June 2026 top-two primary against a divided Republican field led by former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo. Post-redistricting adjustments added modestly Democratic-leaning areas, shifting the district’s partisan voting index toward Democrats and prompting forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections to rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with these structural advantages, including incumbency, fundraising edges, and the absence of a unified Republican challenger capable of overcoming the district’s current lean.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न