Skip to main content
icon for Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
Politique·Élection Américaine

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

icon for Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
Politique·Élection Américaine

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

25% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
25% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Missouri voters face Amendment 3 on the November 2026 ballot, a legislatively referred measure that would repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom while imposing a near-total abortion ban with narrow exceptions and locking in permanent restrictions on gender transition surgeries, cross-sex hormones, and puberty blockers for minors. The proposal bundles the two issues after a statutory ban on such procedures for minors took effect in 2023 with a 2027 sunset, upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court, and amid ongoing court rulings that have expanded medication and procedural abortion access by striking down prior regulations. Recent polling shows divided support, opposition campaigns have raised millions, and critics highlight the bundling as an attempt to leverage existing gender-care limits to restore broader abortion restrictions that voters previously rejected. Trader consensus reflected in the 68.5% “No” probability aligns with these dynamics of backlash and the contested path through the general election.

Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Volume
$1,899
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Missouri voters face Amendment 3 on the November 2026 ballot, a legislatively referred measure that would repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom while imposing a near-total abortion ban with narrow exceptions and locking in permanent restrictions on gender transition surgeries, cross-sex hormones, and puberty blockers for minors. The proposal bundles the two issues after a statutory ban on such procedures for minors took effect in 2023 with a 2027 sunset, upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court, and amid ongoing court rulings that have expanded medication and procedural abortion access by striking down prior regulations. Recent polling shows divided support, opposition campaigns have raised millions, and critics highlight the bundling as an attempt to leverage existing gender-care limits to restore broader abortion restrictions that voters previously rejected. Trader consensus reflected in the 68.5% “No” probability aligns with these dynamics of backlash and the contested path through the general election.

Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Volume
$1,899
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).

Connexes

icon for L'amendement sur la protection de l'avortement en Virginie sera-t-il adopté ?

L'amendement sur la protection de l'avortement en Virginie sera-t-il adopté ?

91%
Oui
icon for Le Colorado adopte-t-il une mesure interdisant les chirurgies transgenres chez les mineurs ?

Le Colorado adopte-t-il une mesure interdisant les chirurgies transgenres chez les mineurs ?

51%
Oui
icon for L'amendement de protection du droit à l'avortement au Nevada sera-t-il adopté ?

L'amendement de protection du droit à l'avortement au Nevada sera-t-il adopté ?

96%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 32% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 32¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 32% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 2, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? » est de 32% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 32% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.