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icon for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

icon for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

$31,116 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$31,116 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jared Kushner

Jared Kushner

$1,526 Vol.

86%

icon for Steve Witkoff

Steve Witkoff

$1,365 Vol.

80%

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$2,034 Vol.

76%

icon for Ursula von der Leyen

Ursula von der Leyen

$1,453 Vol.

69%

icon for Keith Kellogg

Keith Kellogg

$1,531 Vol.

69%

icon for Mark Rutte

Mark Rutte

$33 Vol.

66%

icon for Donald Tusk

Donald Tusk

$82 Vol.

66%

icon for Maia Sandu

Maia Sandu

$1,132 Vol.

57%

icon for António Costa

António Costa

$2,353 Vol.

55%

icon for Emmanuel Macron

Emmanuel Macron

$211 Vol.

47%

icon for Mark Carney

Mark Carney

$2,242 Vol.

52%

icon for Friedrich Merz

Friedrich Merz

$717 Vol.

55%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$632 Vol.

16%

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$1,995 Vol.

8%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$13,812 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic efforts tied to Russia-Ukraine negotiations shape trader focus on visits by December 31, 2026. Recent reports indicate a U.S. delegation including Jared Kushner, Christopher Miller, and Steve Witkoff planned travel to Kyiv in late July for war-ending discussions, with possible follow-on to Moscow. High implied probabilities on figures like Kushner and Keith Kellogg reflect trader expectations around Trump administration involvement and envoy activity. Broader context includes potential NATO or European leaders such as Mark Rutte, amid stalled ceasefire talks and scheduled summits. Resolution hinges on confirmed arrivals before year-end, with any escalation or new diplomatic channels likely to shift positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$31,116
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic efforts tied to Russia-Ukraine negotiations shape trader focus on visits by December 31, 2026. Recent reports indicate a U.S. delegation including Jared Kushner, Christopher Miller, and Steve Witkoff planned travel to Kyiv in late July for war-ending discussions, with possible follow-on to Moscow. High implied probabilities on figures like Kushner and Keith Kellogg reflect trader expectations around Trump administration involvement and envoy activity. Broader context includes potential NATO or European leaders such as Mark Rutte, amid stalled ceasefire talks and scheduled summits. Resolution hinges on confirmed arrivals before year-end, with any escalation or new diplomatic channels likely to shift positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$31,116
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Questions fréquentes

« Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jared Kushner » à 86%, suivi de « Steve Witkoff » à 80%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 86¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 86% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? » a généré $31.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 29, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? » est « Jared Kushner » à 86%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 86% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Steve Witkoff » à 80%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.