Anthropic's Claude 5 family, including Fable 5 and Opus variants with max-effort reasoning modes, currently tops LiveBench overall at scores around 83, narrowly ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 Thinking releases near 81. This tight race stems from rapid 2026 iterations in large language model scale, post-training alignment, and inference-time compute that boost performance across math, coding, and reasoning categories on the contamination-free benchmark. Traders see Anthropic's edge in demonstrated consistency and OpenAI's strength in raw capability as key swing factors, with Chinese labs like Moonshot (Kimi) and MiniMax close behind but trailing on aggregate. Upcoming August updates or new model drops from these labs could shift the market-implied odds before month-end resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMeituan 89%
MiniMax 85%
Alibaba 39%
Moonshot 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
Meituan
89%
MiniMax
85%
Alibaba
39%
Moonshot
38%
OpenAI
37%
Baidu
33%
Z.ai
33%
32%
Microsoft
31%
ByteDance
31%
Tencent
31%
Xiaomi
30%
StepFun
29%
Meta
28%
SpaceXAI
28%
DeepSeek
28%
Amazon
28%
Nvidia
28%
Mistral
28%
Thinky
23%
Anthropic
44%
Meituan 89%
MiniMax 85%
Alibaba 39%
Moonshot 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
Meituan
$50 Vol.
89%
MiniMax
$80 Vol.
85%
Alibaba
$50 Vol.
39%
Moonshot
$50 Vol.
38%
OpenAI
$50 Vol.
37%
Baidu
$50 Vol.
33%
Z.ai
$50 Vol.
33%
$50 Vol.
32%
Microsoft
$50 Vol.
31%
ByteDance
$50 Vol.
31%
Tencent
$50 Vol.
31%
Xiaomi
$50 Vol.
30%
StepFun
$50 Vol.
29%
Meta
$50 Vol.
28%
SpaceXAI
$50 Vol.
28%
DeepSeek
$50 Vol.
28%
Amazon
$50 Vol.
28%
Nvidia
$50 Vol.
28%
Mistral
$50 Vol.
28%
Thinky
$50 Vol.
23%
Anthropic
$70 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's Claude 5 family, including Fable 5 and Opus variants with max-effort reasoning modes, currently tops LiveBench overall at scores around 83, narrowly ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 Thinking releases near 81. This tight race stems from rapid 2026 iterations in large language model scale, post-training alignment, and inference-time compute that boost performance across math, coding, and reasoning categories on the contamination-free benchmark. Traders see Anthropic's edge in demonstrated consistency and OpenAI's strength in raw capability as key swing factors, with Chinese labs like Moonshot (Kimi) and MiniMax close behind but trailing on aggregate. Upcoming August updates or new model drops from these labs could shift the market-implied odds before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$1,100Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ETSource de résolution
https://livebench.ai/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's Claude 5 family, including Fable 5 and Opus variants with max-effort reasoning modes, currently tops LiveBench overall at scores around 83, narrowly ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 Thinking releases near 81. This tight race stems from rapid 2026 iterations in large language model scale, post-training alignment, and inference-time compute that boost performance across math, coding, and reasoning categories on the contamination-free benchmark. Traders see Anthropic's edge in demonstrated consistency and OpenAI's strength in raw capability as key swing factors, with Chinese labs like Moonshot (Kimi) and MiniMax close behind but trailing on aggregate. Upcoming August updates or new model drops from these labs could shift the market-implied odds before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$1,100Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ETSource de résolution
https://livebench.ai/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude 5 family, including Fable 5 and Opus variants with max-effort reasoning modes, currently tops LiveBench overall at scores around 83, narrowly ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 Thinking releases near 81. This tight race stems from rapid 2026 iterations in large language model scale, post-training alignment, and inference-time compute that boost performance across math, coding, and reasoning categories on the contamination-free benchmark. Traders see Anthropic's edge in demonstrated consistency and OpenAI's strength in raw capability as key swing factors, with Chinese labs like Moonshot (Kimi) and MiniMax close behind but trailing on aggregate. Upcoming August updates or new model drops from these labs could shift the market-implied odds before month-end resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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