The partial ordered departure of non-emergency U.S. government personnel and eligible family members from the Beirut embassy in late February 2026, prompted by volatile security conditions tied to Israel-Hezbollah fighting and broader regional tensions, represents the most recent major catalyst shaping trader views. Embassy alerts have repeatedly urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while available, suspended routine consular services, and noted restrictions on personnel movement, yet the mission itself continues operations without a full closure or assisted evacuation. Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks in Rome through August 2026, focused on Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and Hezbollah disarmament, alongside periodic cross-border incidents, remain the key variables that could trigger or avert further embassy drawdowns before any market deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis évacuent l'ambassade de Beyrouth d'ici... ?
Les États-Unis évacuent l'ambassade de Beyrouth d'ici... ?
$117,779 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
31 décembre
4%
$117,779 Vol.
31 décembre
$23,677 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The partial ordered departure of non-emergency U.S. government personnel and eligible family members from the Beirut embassy in late February 2026, prompted by volatile security conditions tied to Israel-Hezbollah fighting and broader regional tensions, represents the most recent major catalyst shaping trader views. Embassy alerts have repeatedly urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while available, suspended routine consular services, and noted restrictions on personnel movement, yet the mission itself continues operations without a full closure or assisted evacuation. Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks in Rome through August 2026, focused on Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and Hezbollah disarmament, alongside periodic cross-border incidents, remain the key variables that could trigger or avert further embassy drawdowns before any market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$117,779Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The partial ordered departure of non-emergency U.S. government personnel and eligible family members from the Beirut embassy in late February 2026, prompted by volatile security conditions tied to Israel-Hezbollah fighting and broader regional tensions, represents the most recent major catalyst shaping trader views. Embassy alerts have repeatedly urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while available, suspended routine consular services, and noted restrictions on personnel movement, yet the mission itself continues operations without a full closure or assisted evacuation. Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks in Rome through August 2026, focused on Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and Hezbollah disarmament, alongside periodic cross-border incidents, remain the key variables that could trigger or avert further embassy drawdowns before any market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$117,779Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The partial ordered departure of non-emergency U.S. government personnel and eligible family members from the Beirut embassy in late February 2026, prompted by volatile security conditions tied to Israel-Hezbollah fighting and broader regional tensions, represents the most recent major catalyst shaping trader views. Embassy alerts have repeatedly urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while available, suspended routine consular services, and noted restrictions on personnel movement, yet the mission itself continues operations without a full closure or assisted evacuation. Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks in Rome through August 2026, focused on Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and Hezbollah disarmament, alongside periodic cross-border incidents, remain the key variables that could trigger or avert further embassy drawdowns before any market deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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