The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has faced elevated security risks amid the ongoing Israel-Hezbollah conflict and related regional tensions with Iran. In February 2026 the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and family members, suspended routine consular services, and repeatedly urged American citizens to leave Lebanon while commercial flights remained available. Airstrikes have targeted areas near Beirut, prompting further alerts through April. By June, reports emerged of U.S.-backed proposals for mutual halts in fighting, though implementation remains uncertain. Trader assessments of full embassy evacuation by any specific deadline hinge on the trajectory of hostilities, diplomatic staffing decisions, and any new threat assessments or ordered departures within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis évacuent l'ambassade de Beyrouth d'ici... ?
Les États-Unis évacuent l'ambassade de Beyrouth d'ici... ?
$117,779 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
31 décembre
4%
$117,779 Vol.
31 décembre
$23,677 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has faced elevated security risks amid the ongoing Israel-Hezbollah conflict and related regional tensions with Iran. In February 2026 the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and family members, suspended routine consular services, and repeatedly urged American citizens to leave Lebanon while commercial flights remained available. Airstrikes have targeted areas near Beirut, prompting further alerts through April. By June, reports emerged of U.S.-backed proposals for mutual halts in fighting, though implementation remains uncertain. Trader assessments of full embassy evacuation by any specific deadline hinge on the trajectory of hostilities, diplomatic staffing decisions, and any new threat assessments or ordered departures within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$117,779Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has faced elevated security risks amid the ongoing Israel-Hezbollah conflict and related regional tensions with Iran. In February 2026 the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and family members, suspended routine consular services, and repeatedly urged American citizens to leave Lebanon while commercial flights remained available. Airstrikes have targeted areas near Beirut, prompting further alerts through April. By June, reports emerged of U.S.-backed proposals for mutual halts in fighting, though implementation remains uncertain. Trader assessments of full embassy evacuation by any specific deadline hinge on the trajectory of hostilities, diplomatic staffing decisions, and any new threat assessments or ordered departures within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$117,779Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has faced elevated security risks amid the ongoing Israel-Hezbollah conflict and related regional tensions with Iran. In February 2026 the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and family members, suspended routine consular services, and repeatedly urged American citizens to leave Lebanon while commercial flights remained available. Airstrikes have targeted areas near Beirut, prompting further alerts through April. By June, reports emerged of U.S.-backed proposals for mutual halts in fighting, though implementation remains uncertain. Trader assessments of full embassy evacuation by any specific deadline hinge on the trajectory of hostilities, diplomatic staffing decisions, and any new threat assessments or ordered departures within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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