Stephen Skoly holds the lead in trader consensus for the Rhode Island 2nd Congressional District Republican primary due to securing the state party endorsement at the June 2026 convention after Victor Mellor stepped back from the process. Skoly, an East Greenwich oral surgeon with decades of local practice, benefits from established Republican networks and top ballot placement, while Mellor, a self-funded Marine veteran and business owner who recently returned from Florida, emphasizes his military background and outsider appeal. The candidates’ sole televised debate on September 4 focused on policy overlap and MAGA positioning without major shifts in positioning. With the primary just days away on September 9 and early voting underway, the endorsement and residency factors continue to anchor current implied probabilities ahead of final vote counts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$12,656 Vol.
$12,656 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
Stephen Skoly
74%
Victor Mellor
27%
$12,656 Vol.
$12,656 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
Stephen Skoly
$8,290 Vol.
74%
Victor Mellor
$4,367 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Skoly holds the lead in trader consensus for the Rhode Island 2nd Congressional District Republican primary due to securing the state party endorsement at the June 2026 convention after Victor Mellor stepped back from the process. Skoly, an East Greenwich oral surgeon with decades of local practice, benefits from established Republican networks and top ballot placement, while Mellor, a self-funded Marine veteran and business owner who recently returned from Florida, emphasizes his military background and outsider appeal. The candidates’ sole televised debate on September 4 focused on policy overlap and MAGA positioning without major shifts in positioning. With the primary just days away on September 9 and early voting underway, the endorsement and residency factors continue to anchor current implied probabilities ahead of final vote counts.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Volume
$12,656Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Skoly holds the lead in trader consensus for the Rhode Island 2nd Congressional District Republican primary due to securing the state party endorsement at the June 2026 convention after Victor Mellor stepped back from the process. Skoly, an East Greenwich oral surgeon with decades of local practice, benefits from established Republican networks and top ballot placement, while Mellor, a self-funded Marine veteran and business owner who recently returned from Florida, emphasizes his military background and outsider appeal. The candidates’ sole televised debate on September 4 focused on policy overlap and MAGA positioning without major shifts in positioning. With the primary just days away on September 9 and early voting underway, the endorsement and residency factors continue to anchor current implied probabilities ahead of final vote counts.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,656Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Stephen Skoly holds the lead in trader consensus for the Rhode Island 2nd Congressional District Republican primary due to securing the state party endorsement at the June 2026 convention after Victor Mellor stepped back from the process. Skoly, an East Greenwich oral surgeon with decades of local practice, benefits from established Republican networks and top ballot placement, while Mellor, a self-funded Marine veteran and business owner who recently returned from Florida, emphasizes his military background and outsider appeal. The candidates’ sole televised debate on September 4 focused on policy overlap and MAGA positioning without major shifts in positioning. With the primary just days away on September 9 and early voting underway, the endorsement and residency factors continue to anchor current implied probabilities ahead of final vote counts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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