Stephen Skoly holds a strong position in the Rhode Island Republican primary for the 2nd Congressional District, set for September 9, due to the state party’s endorsement secured at the June convention following a contested vote. This backing provides ballot placement advantages and signals institutional support among GOP voters in a low-turnout contest against Victor Mellor. Traders assign Skoly a 75% implied probability, reflecting the endorsement’s weight despite Mellor’s substantial self-funding exceeding $3 million and additional endorsements. Recent developments include a scheduled debate and questions over military records, but these have not shifted the consensus view of Skoly’s lead heading into early voting. The outcome hinges on turnout among party-aligned voters in the final days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$18,761 Vol.
$18,761 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
Stephen Skoly
77%
Victor Mellor
25%
$18,761 Vol.
$18,761 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
Stephen Skoly
$11,067 Vol.
77%
Victor Mellor
$7,693 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Skoly holds a strong position in the Rhode Island Republican primary for the 2nd Congressional District, set for September 9, due to the state party’s endorsement secured at the June convention following a contested vote. This backing provides ballot placement advantages and signals institutional support among GOP voters in a low-turnout contest against Victor Mellor. Traders assign Skoly a 75% implied probability, reflecting the endorsement’s weight despite Mellor’s substantial self-funding exceeding $3 million and additional endorsements. Recent developments include a scheduled debate and questions over military records, but these have not shifted the consensus view of Skoly’s lead heading into early voting. The outcome hinges on turnout among party-aligned voters in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Volume
$18,761Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Skoly holds a strong position in the Rhode Island Republican primary for the 2nd Congressional District, set for September 9, due to the state party’s endorsement secured at the June convention following a contested vote. This backing provides ballot placement advantages and signals institutional support among GOP voters in a low-turnout contest against Victor Mellor. Traders assign Skoly a 75% implied probability, reflecting the endorsement’s weight despite Mellor’s substantial self-funding exceeding $3 million and additional endorsements. Recent developments include a scheduled debate and questions over military records, but these have not shifted the consensus view of Skoly’s lead heading into early voting. The outcome hinges on turnout among party-aligned voters in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,761Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Stephen Skoly holds a strong position in the Rhode Island Republican primary for the 2nd Congressional District, set for September 9, due to the state party’s endorsement secured at the June convention following a contested vote. This backing provides ballot placement advantages and signals institutional support among GOP voters in a low-turnout contest against Victor Mellor. Traders assign Skoly a 75% implied probability, reflecting the endorsement’s weight despite Mellor’s substantial self-funding exceeding $3 million and additional endorsements. Recent developments include a scheduled debate and questions over military records, but these have not shifted the consensus view of Skoly’s lead heading into early voting. The outcome hinges on turnout among party-aligned voters in the final days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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