**Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial turnout market reflects moderate expectations shaped by the absence of a U.S. Senate or presidential race on the November 3 ballot, which historically suppresses participation in the state.** The competitive matchup between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, alongside returning ballot measures on voter ID and abortion rights, supplies the main catalysts for mobilization. Primary turnout reached only about 20 percent statewide, with notably lower rates in Clark County compared to Washoe and rural areas, while recent voter roll maintenance has shifted nearly 400,000 records to inactive status and narrowed partisan registration gaps. Mail and early voting remain dominant, but economic concerns over housing affordability, energy demand from data centers, and prices could influence engagement levels. The clustered probabilities around 1.0–1.1 million votes capture uncertainty over whether these factors will produce average midterm participation or a modest lift from the high-profile state contests.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1,05M-1,125M 27%
975K-1,05M 20%
<900K 18%
1,2M-1,275M 18%
<900K
18%
900K-975K
12%
975K-1,05M
20%
1,05M-1,125M
27%
1,125M-1,2M
13%
1,2M-1,275M
18%
1,275M-1,35M
1%
1,35M+
5%
1,05M-1,125M 27%
975K-1,05M 20%
<900K 18%
1,2M-1,275M 18%
<900K
18%
900K-975K
12%
975K-1,05M
20%
1,05M-1,125M
27%
1,125M-1,2M
13%
1,2M-1,275M
18%
1,275M-1,35M
1%
1,35M+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial turnout market reflects moderate expectations shaped by the absence of a U.S. Senate or presidential race on the November 3 ballot, which historically suppresses participation in the state.** The competitive matchup between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, alongside returning ballot measures on voter ID and abortion rights, supplies the main catalysts for mobilization. Primary turnout reached only about 20 percent statewide, with notably lower rates in Clark County compared to Washoe and rural areas, while recent voter roll maintenance has shifted nearly 400,000 records to inactive status and narrowed partisan registration gaps. Mail and early voting remain dominant, but economic concerns over housing affordability, energy demand from data centers, and prices could influence engagement levels. The clustered probabilities around 1.0–1.1 million votes capture uncertainty over whether these factors will produce average midterm participation or a modest lift from the high-profile state contests.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de Californie sera-t-il de 14 500 000 ou plus ?
Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de l'Arizona sera-t-il compris entre 2 450 000 et 2 600 000 ?
Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat 2026 pour le gouverneur du Connecticut sera-t-il compris entre 1 300 000 et 1 400 000 ?
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