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icon for Élection du gouverneur du Nevada : participation
Politique·Midterms

Élection du gouverneur du Nevada : participation

icon for Élection du gouverneur du Nevada : participation
Politique·Midterms

Élection du gouverneur du Nevada : participation

1,05M-1,125M 27%

<900K 19%

1,2M-1,275M 19%

975K-1,05M 17%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

1,05M-1,125M 27%

<900K 19%

1,2M-1,275M 19%

975K-1,05M 17%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<900K

$268 Vol.

19%

900K-975K

$143 Vol.

13%

975K-1,05M

$198 Vol.

17%

1,05M-1,125M

$103 Vol.

27%

1,125M-1,2M

$163 Vol.

12%

1,2M-1,275M

$179 Vol.

19%

1,275M-1,35M

$103 Vol.

1%

1,35M+

$115 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The close contest between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford, rated lean Republican in recent forecasts, anchors trader expectations for moderate turnout in the Nevada governor race. With active registered voters near 2.06 million after recent list maintenance and nonpartisans forming the largest bloc, both campaigns face pressure to mobilize core supporters and persuade independents in a state where mail ballots dominate and early voting expands participation. Primary turnout near 22 percent offers limited precedent for general election intensity, while historical general election totals—1.02 million in 2022 versus 1.49 million in the 2024 presidential cycle—highlight sensitivity to race competitiveness and external catalysts. These factors sustain a tight distribution across turnout brackets as traders weigh base mobilization against structural limits on voter rolls.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,271
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The close contest between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford, rated lean Republican in recent forecasts, anchors trader expectations for moderate turnout in the Nevada governor race. With active registered voters near 2.06 million after recent list maintenance and nonpartisans forming the largest bloc, both campaigns face pressure to mobilize core supporters and persuade independents in a state where mail ballots dominate and early voting expands participation. Primary turnout near 22 percent offers limited precedent for general election intensity, while historical general election totals—1.02 million in 2022 versus 1.49 million in the 2024 presidential cycle—highlight sensitivity to race competitiveness and external catalysts. These factors sustain a tight distribution across turnout brackets as traders weigh base mobilization against structural limits on voter rolls.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,271
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de Californie sera-t-il compris entre 12 500 000 et 13 000 000 ?

Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de Californie sera-t-il compris entre 12 500 000 et 13 000 000 ?

35%
Oui
icon for Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de l'Arizona sera-t-il compris entre 2 450 000 et 2 600 000 ?

Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de l'Arizona sera-t-il compris entre 2 450 000 et 2 600 000 ?

32%
Oui
icon for Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat 2026 pour le gouverneur du Connecticut sera-t-il compris entre 1 300 000 et 1 400 000 ?

Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat 2026 pour le gouverneur du Connecticut sera-t-il compris entre 1 300 000 et 1 400 000 ?

51%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection du gouverneur du Nevada : participation » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 1,05M-1,125M » à 27%, suivi de « <900K » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 27¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection du gouverneur du Nevada : participation » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 18, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection du gouverneur du Nevada : participation », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection du gouverneur du Nevada : participation » est « 1,05M-1,125M » à 27%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <900K » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection du gouverneur du Nevada : participation » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.