Javier Milei’s strengthened position in Congress following his party’s 2025 midterm gains has raised the bar for any removal effort, as opposition forces remain fragmented and lack the votes for successful impeachment or forced resignation. Economic indicators show progress on fiscal balance and inflation reduction from prior peaks, even as approval ratings hover near 35-40 percent amid lingering public fatigue and isolated corruption cases. Traders assign a 95.4 percent probability that Milei completes his term, reflecting the absence of near-term catalysts capable of triggering constitutional removal procedures before 2027. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sudden coalition fractures could still alter this assessment, though none currently appear imminent.