Recent weak cold air advection from the north, interacting with a high-altitude trough, has driven a sharp cooldown across the Yangtze River region, with official Wuhan forecasts projecting overnight lows near 19–21 °C amid widespread rain. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds limit radiative cooling while heavy precipitation periods further suppress the minimum by enhancing evaporative effects. Model runs show modest spread in rain timing and intensity, keeping the 18 °C and 19 °C thresholds nearly tied in trader pricing and leaving meaningful probability on 17 °C or lower outcomes. Updated local meteorological guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wuhan le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Wuhan le 17 septembre ?
14°C ou moins 100%
17°C 98%
15°C 19%
16°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
100%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
98%
18°C
51%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
14°C ou moins 100%
17°C 98%
15°C 19%
16°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
100%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$0 Vol.
98%
18°C
$21 Vol.
51%
19°C
$264 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou plus
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weak cold air advection from the north, interacting with a high-altitude trough, has driven a sharp cooldown across the Yangtze River region, with official Wuhan forecasts projecting overnight lows near 19–21 °C amid widespread rain. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds limit radiative cooling while heavy precipitation periods further suppress the minimum by enhancing evaporative effects. Model runs show modest spread in rain timing and intensity, keeping the 18 °C and 19 °C thresholds nearly tied in trader pricing and leaving meaningful probability on 17 °C or lower outcomes. Updated local meteorological guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$630Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weak cold air advection from the north, interacting with a high-altitude trough, has driven a sharp cooldown across the Yangtze River region, with official Wuhan forecasts projecting overnight lows near 19–21 °C amid widespread rain. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds limit radiative cooling while heavy precipitation periods further suppress the minimum by enhancing evaporative effects. Model runs show modest spread in rain timing and intensity, keeping the 18 °C and 19 °C thresholds nearly tied in trader pricing and leaving meaningful probability on 17 °C or lower outcomes. Updated local meteorological guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$630Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent weak cold air advection from the north, interacting with a high-altitude trough, has driven a sharp cooldown across the Yangtze River region, with official Wuhan forecasts projecting overnight lows near 19–21 °C amid widespread rain. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds limit radiative cooling while heavy precipitation periods further suppress the minimum by enhancing evaporative effects. Model runs show modest spread in rain timing and intensity, keeping the 18 °C and 19 °C thresholds nearly tied in trader pricing and leaving meaningful probability on 17 °C or lower outcomes. Updated local meteorological guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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