Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the upper 50s Fahrenheit for San Francisco on September 18, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a lingering marine layer that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This pattern follows a mid-September shift from warmer, clearer conditions, with recent observations showing daily lows of 56–59°F amid increased Pacific moisture and lighter winds. Historical September averages near 55.8°F provide context, though current steering patterns and dew points in the mid-50s reduce the chance of deeper cooling below 56°F. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the 58–59°F bin, currently holding the highest market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à San Francisco le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à San Francisco le 18 septembre ?
58-59°F 51%
60-61°F 33%
62-63°F 32%
56-57°F 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
51°F ou moins
5%
52-53°F
7%
54-55 °F
11%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
51%
60-61°F
33%
62-63°F
32%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
11%
68-69 °F
7%
70°F ou plus
5%
58-59°F 51%
60-61°F 33%
62-63°F 32%
56-57°F 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
51°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
5%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
7%
54-55 °F
$0 Vol.
11%
56-57°F
$88 Vol.
31%
58-59°F
$2 Vol.
51%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
33%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
32%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
8%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
11%
68-69 °F
$0 Vol.
7%
70°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the upper 50s Fahrenheit for San Francisco on September 18, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a lingering marine layer that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This pattern follows a mid-September shift from warmer, clearer conditions, with recent observations showing daily lows of 56–59°F amid increased Pacific moisture and lighter winds. Historical September averages near 55.8°F provide context, though current steering patterns and dew points in the mid-50s reduce the chance of deeper cooling below 56°F. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the 58–59°F bin, currently holding the highest market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$90Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the upper 50s Fahrenheit for San Francisco on September 18, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a lingering marine layer that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This pattern follows a mid-September shift from warmer, clearer conditions, with recent observations showing daily lows of 56–59°F amid increased Pacific moisture and lighter winds. Historical September averages near 55.8°F provide context, though current steering patterns and dew points in the mid-50s reduce the chance of deeper cooling below 56°F. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the 58–59°F bin, currently holding the highest market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the upper 50s Fahrenheit for San Francisco on September 18, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a lingering marine layer that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This pattern follows a mid-September shift from warmer, clearer conditions, with recent observations showing daily lows of 56–59°F amid increased Pacific moisture and lighter winds. Historical September averages near 55.8°F provide context, though current steering patterns and dew points in the mid-50s reduce the chance of deeper cooling below 56°F. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the 58–59°F bin, currently holding the highest market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 60 et 61 °F le 17 septembre ?
51%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71 °F le 18 septembre ?
33%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 58 et 59°F le 16 septembre ?
87%
Oui
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