**Trader consensus heavily favors an 88–89°F high for Denver on September 16 due to persistent above-normal warmth throughout early-to-mid September and model guidance projecting continued warm advection ahead of the date.** Official National Weather Service climate normals place the daily average high near 80°F, yet recent observations and short-range forecasts from NWS Boulder showed temperatures several degrees above that baseline, with some guidance reaching the upper 80s under mostly sunny or partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The market-implied probability above 99% reflects traders’ assessment of these atmospheric patterns and historical analogs from warm Septembers, while acknowledging model spread and potential for afternoon convection or slight cooling to alter the exact peak. Resolution hinges on the official Denver observation, typically at Denver International Airport, with minimal realistic pathways below the mid-80s given the established warm regime.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Denver le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Denver le 16 septembre ?
88-89 °F 100.0%
73°F ou moins <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$60,465 Vol.
$60,465 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
73°F ou moins
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79 °F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83 °F
<1%
84-85 °F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89 °F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou plus
<1%
88-89 °F 100.0%
73°F ou moins <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$60,465 Vol.
$60,465 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
73°F ou moins
$650 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$380 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$810 Vol.
<1%
78-79 °F
$2,081 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$3,926 Vol.
<1%
82-83 °F
$7,125 Vol.
<1%
84-85 °F
$9,974 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$20,751 Vol.
<1%
88-89 °F
$8,987 Vol.
100%
90-91°F
$1,492 Vol.
<1%
92°F ou plus
$4,290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors an 88–89°F high for Denver on September 16 due to persistent above-normal warmth throughout early-to-mid September and model guidance projecting continued warm advection ahead of the date.** Official National Weather Service climate normals place the daily average high near 80°F, yet recent observations and short-range forecasts from NWS Boulder showed temperatures several degrees above that baseline, with some guidance reaching the upper 80s under mostly sunny or partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The market-implied probability above 99% reflects traders’ assessment of these atmospheric patterns and historical analogs from warm Septembers, while acknowledging model spread and potential for afternoon convection or slight cooling to alter the exact peak. Resolution hinges on the official Denver observation, typically at Denver International Airport, with minimal realistic pathways below the mid-80s given the established warm regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$60,465Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors an 88–89°F high for Denver on September 16 due to persistent above-normal warmth throughout early-to-mid September and model guidance projecting continued warm advection ahead of the date.** Official National Weather Service climate normals place the daily average high near 80°F, yet recent observations and short-range forecasts from NWS Boulder showed temperatures several degrees above that baseline, with some guidance reaching the upper 80s under mostly sunny or partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The market-implied probability above 99% reflects traders’ assessment of these atmospheric patterns and historical analogs from warm Septembers, while acknowledging model spread and potential for afternoon convection or slight cooling to alter the exact peak. Resolution hinges on the official Denver observation, typically at Denver International Airport, with minimal realistic pathways below the mid-80s given the established warm regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60,465Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors an 88–89°F high for Denver on September 16 due to persistent above-normal warmth throughout early-to-mid September and model guidance projecting continued warm advection ahead of the date.** Official National Weather Service climate normals place the daily average high near 80°F, yet recent observations and short-range forecasts from NWS Boulder showed temperatures several degrees above that baseline, with some guidance reaching the upper 80s under mostly sunny or partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The market-implied probability above 99% reflects traders’ assessment of these atmospheric patterns and historical analogs from warm Septembers, while acknowledging model spread and potential for afternoon convection or slight cooling to alter the exact peak. Resolution hinges on the official Denver observation, typically at Denver International Airport, with minimal realistic pathways below the mid-80s given the established warm regime.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes