**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature in London on September 16, 2026 (96% implied probability), driven by consistent official forecasts for an overnight minimum near that threshold.** Recent model runs and Met Office guidance show mild conditions overnight under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the low around 13–14°C. Multiple sources, including ensemble guidance and station observations, align on this range, with daytime highs reaching 19–20°C before temperatures ease after sunset. Historical September baselines for London (typical overnight lows in the low-to-mid teens Celsius) further support the positioning, as no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling is indicated. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearer skies or a shift in wind patterns allowing temperatures to dip to 13°C or below at key monitoring sites, or a late revision in post-event observational data. With the day nearly complete and model agreement high, such shifts appear unlikely absent rapid changes in synoptic conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 16 septembre ?
14°C 97%
13°C 2%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
$6,490 Vol.
$6,490 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
97%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
14°C 97%
13°C 2%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
$6,490 Vol.
$6,490 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$91 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,509 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,872 Vol.
2%
14°C
$1,323 Vol.
97%
15°C
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$91 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou plus
$96 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature in London on September 16, 2026 (96% implied probability), driven by consistent official forecasts for an overnight minimum near that threshold.**
Recent model runs and Met Office guidance show mild conditions overnight under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the low around 13–14°C. Multiple sources, including ensemble guidance and station observations, align on this range, with daytime highs reaching 19–20°C before temperatures ease after sunset. Historical September baselines for London (typical overnight lows in the low-to-mid teens Celsius) further support the positioning, as no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling is indicated.
A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearer skies or a shift in wind patterns allowing temperatures to dip to 13°C or below at key monitoring sites, or a late revision in post-event observational data. With the day nearly complete and model agreement high, such shifts appear unlikely absent rapid changes in synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$6,490Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature in London on September 16, 2026 (96% implied probability), driven by consistent official forecasts for an overnight minimum near that threshold.**
Recent model runs and Met Office guidance show mild conditions overnight under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the low around 13–14°C. Multiple sources, including ensemble guidance and station observations, align on this range, with daytime highs reaching 19–20°C before temperatures ease after sunset. Historical September baselines for London (typical overnight lows in the low-to-mid teens Celsius) further support the positioning, as no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling is indicated.
A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearer skies or a shift in wind patterns allowing temperatures to dip to 13°C or below at key monitoring sites, or a late revision in post-event observational data. With the day nearly complete and model agreement high, such shifts appear unlikely absent rapid changes in synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,490Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature in London on September 16, 2026 (96% implied probability), driven by consistent official forecasts for an overnight minimum near that threshold.** Recent model runs and Met Office guidance show mild conditions overnight under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the low around 13–14°C. Multiple sources, including ensemble guidance and station observations, align on this range, with daytime highs reaching 19–20°C before temperatures ease after sunset. Historical September baselines for London (typical overnight lows in the low-to-mid teens Celsius) further support the positioning, as no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling is indicated. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearer skies or a shift in wind patterns allowing temperatures to dip to 13°C or below at key monitoring sites, or a late revision in post-event observational data. With the day nearly complete and model agreement high, such shifts appear unlikely absent rapid changes in synoptic conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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