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icon for La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 7 août ?

La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 7 août ?

icon for La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 7 août ?

La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 7 août ?

27°C 48%

28°C 30%

26°C 17%

29°C 5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$20,698 Vol.

27°C 48%

28°C 30%

26°C 17%

29°C 5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$20,698 Vol.

21°C ou moins

$501 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$561 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$521 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$1,448 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$1,467 Vol.

4%

26°C

$3,897 Vol.

17%

27°C

$2,927 Vol.

48%

28°C

$4,558 Vol.

30%

29°C

$2,737 Vol.

5%

30°C

$1,341 Vol.

<1%

31°C ou plus

$737 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 7 under typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 32–34°C and moderate humidity supporting limited overnight radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds—common in August—further moderate nighttime lows near the seasonal average of 26–28°C. Recent model consensus and real-time observations show no incoming cold fronts, typhoons, or unusual atmospheric shifts that would push readings below 26°C or above 29°C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 27°C and 28°C because these align with verified historical patterns and the absence of factors that could drive meaningful deviation before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,698
Date de fin
7 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 7 under typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 32–34°C and moderate humidity supporting limited overnight radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds—common in August—further moderate nighttime lows near the seasonal average of 26–28°C. Recent model consensus and real-time observations show no incoming cold fronts, typhoons, or unusual atmospheric shifts that would push readings below 26°C or above 29°C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 27°C and 28°C because these align with verified historical patterns and the absence of factors that could drive meaningful deviation before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,698
Date de fin
7 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 7 août ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 27°C » à 48%, suivi de « 28°C » à 30%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 48¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 7 août ? » a généré $20.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 5, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 7 août ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 7 août ? » est « 27°C » à 48%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 28°C » à 30%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 7 août ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.