Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat centered on New Orleans and surrounding areas, where incumbent Troy Carter holds a strong position heading into the November 3, 2026 nonpartisan primary. The district's voter demographics and historical voting patterns have produced consistent Democratic margins, reinforced by Carter's fundraising advantage and endorsements. Recent schedule adjustments following the Supreme Court's Louisiana v. Callais decision shifted the process to a majority-vote system but did not alter the underlying partisan balance. All major forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. A serious primary challenge from within the Democratic field or an unforeseen development such as a major scandal could theoretically shift outcomes, though current trader consensus reflects the limited realistic path for Republican or independent contenders to advance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
LA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$61,064 Vol.
$61,064 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
97%
Parti républicain
3%
$61,064 Vol.
$61,064 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$34,748 Vol.
97%
Parti républicain
$26,316 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat centered on New Orleans and surrounding areas, where incumbent Troy Carter holds a strong position heading into the November 3, 2026 nonpartisan primary. The district's voter demographics and historical voting patterns have produced consistent Democratic margins, reinforced by Carter's fundraising advantage and endorsements. Recent schedule adjustments following the Supreme Court's Louisiana v. Callais decision shifted the process to a majority-vote system but did not alter the underlying partisan balance. All major forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. A serious primary challenge from within the Democratic field or an unforeseen development such as a major scandal could theoretically shift outcomes, though current trader consensus reflects the limited realistic path for Republican or independent contenders to advance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$61,064Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat centered on New Orleans and surrounding areas, where incumbent Troy Carter holds a strong position heading into the November 3, 2026 nonpartisan primary. The district's voter demographics and historical voting patterns have produced consistent Democratic margins, reinforced by Carter's fundraising advantage and endorsements. Recent schedule adjustments following the Supreme Court's Louisiana v. Callais decision shifted the process to a majority-vote system but did not alter the underlying partisan balance. All major forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. A serious primary challenge from within the Democratic field or an unforeseen development such as a major scandal could theoretically shift outcomes, though current trader consensus reflects the limited realistic path for Republican or independent contenders to advance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$61,064Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat centered on New Orleans and surrounding areas, where incumbent Troy Carter holds a strong position heading into the November 3, 2026 nonpartisan primary. The district's voter demographics and historical voting patterns have produced consistent Democratic margins, reinforced by Carter's fundraising advantage and endorsements. Recent schedule adjustments following the Supreme Court's Louisiana v. Callais decision shifted the process to a majority-vote system but did not alter the underlying partisan balance. All major forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. A serious primary challenge from within the Democratic field or an unforeseen development such as a major scandal could theoretically shift outcomes, though current trader consensus reflects the limited realistic path for Republican or independent contenders to advance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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