Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race against Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, reflecting Kansas’s consistent Republican lean in federal contests and the absence of a Democratic Senate victory in the state since 1932. Marshall secured his party’s nomination with roughly 80% in the August primary and benefits from the state’s voting patterns, including Donald Trump’s 16-point margin in 2024. Recent August polling averages show Marshall ahead by 2–4 points, consistent with forecasts rating the contest Likely Republican. Hamilton, a pastor who won a crowded Democratic primary, has narrowed the gap in some surveys but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the seat continuously since 1919. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the limited remaining campaign window before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$46,051 Vol.
$46,051 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
82%
Démocrate
19%
$46,051 Vol.
$46,051 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
$30,078 Vol.
82%
Démocrate
$15,973 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race against Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, reflecting Kansas’s consistent Republican lean in federal contests and the absence of a Democratic Senate victory in the state since 1932. Marshall secured his party’s nomination with roughly 80% in the August primary and benefits from the state’s voting patterns, including Donald Trump’s 16-point margin in 2024. Recent August polling averages show Marshall ahead by 2–4 points, consistent with forecasts rating the contest Likely Republican. Hamilton, a pastor who won a crowded Democratic primary, has narrowed the gap in some surveys but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the seat continuously since 1919. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the limited remaining campaign window before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$46,051Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race against Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, reflecting Kansas’s consistent Republican lean in federal contests and the absence of a Democratic Senate victory in the state since 1932. Marshall secured his party’s nomination with roughly 80% in the August primary and benefits from the state’s voting patterns, including Donald Trump’s 16-point margin in 2024. Recent August polling averages show Marshall ahead by 2–4 points, consistent with forecasts rating the contest Likely Republican. Hamilton, a pastor who won a crowded Democratic primary, has narrowed the gap in some surveys but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the seat continuously since 1919. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the limited remaining campaign window before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$46,051Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race against Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, reflecting Kansas’s consistent Republican lean in federal contests and the absence of a Democratic Senate victory in the state since 1932. Marshall secured his party’s nomination with roughly 80% in the August primary and benefits from the state’s voting patterns, including Donald Trump’s 16-point margin in 2024. Recent August polling averages show Marshall ahead by 2–4 points, consistent with forecasts rating the contest Likely Republican. Hamilton, a pastor who won a crowded Democratic primary, has narrowed the gap in some surveys but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the seat continuously since 1919. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the limited remaining campaign window before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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