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icon for James Fishback action avec droit de vote en 2026 Primaire du gouverneur républicain de Floride ?
Politique·Élection Américaine

James Fishback action avec droit de vote en 2026 Primaire du gouverneur républicain de Floride ?

icon for James Fishback action avec droit de vote en 2026 Primaire du gouverneur républicain de Floride ?
Politique·Élection Américaine

James Fishback action avec droit de vote en 2026 Primaire du gouverneur républicain de Floride ?

Fishback 10–15 % 98.8%

Fishback 25–30 % 1.0%

Fishback 30 %+  <1%

Fishback <10 % <1%

Polymarket

$343,019 Vol.

Fishback 10–15 % 98.8%

Fishback 25–30 % 1.0%

Fishback 30 %+  <1%

Fishback <10 % <1%

Polymarket

$343,019 Vol.

Fishback <10 %

$249,656 Vol.

<1%

Fishback 10–15 %

$24,437 Vol.

99%

Fishback 15–20 %

$13,545 Vol.

<1%

Fishback 20–25 %

$17,331 Vol.

<1%

Fishback 25–30 %

$10,466 Vol.

1%

Fishback 30 %+

$27,583 Vol.

<1%

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Traders assign overwhelming probability to James Fishback finishing with 10-15% in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican gubernatorial primary because pre-election polling averages consistently placed him in that range amid a crowded field led by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds. Fishback, an investment firm founder and relative newcomer to statewide races, raised far less than Donalds or Lt. Gov. Jay Collins while emphasizing issues such as property tax relief and public safety. Recent statewide surveys through early August showed him holding steady near 12%, with no late surge materializing. Actual certified results of approximately 10.5% aligned closely with those figures. The only realistic paths to a materially different outcome would have involved major last-minute shifts in turnout among younger or Panhandle voters or unresolved certification disputes, neither of which occurred.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$343,019
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Traders assign overwhelming probability to James Fishback finishing with 10-15% in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican gubernatorial primary because pre-election polling averages consistently placed him in that range amid a crowded field led by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds. Fishback, an investment firm founder and relative newcomer to statewide races, raised far less than Donalds or Lt. Gov. Jay Collins while emphasizing issues such as property tax relief and public safety. Recent statewide surveys through early August showed him holding steady near 12%, with no late surge materializing. Actual certified results of approximately 10.5% aligned closely with those figures. The only realistic paths to a materially different outcome would have involved major last-minute shifts in turnout among younger or Panhandle voters or unresolved certification disputes, neither of which occurred.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$343,019
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Connexes

icon for Byron Donalds obtiendra-t-il au moins 30 % des voix lors de la primaire républicaine pour le poste de gouverneur de Floride ?

Byron Donalds obtiendra-t-il au moins 30 % des voix lors de la primaire républicaine pour le poste de gouverneur de Floride ?

100%
Oui
icon for Est-ce que Byron Donalds gagnera la primaire républicaine pour le poste de gouverneur de Floride avec une avance de 20 à 25 % ?

Est-ce que Byron Donalds gagnera la primaire républicaine pour le poste de gouverneur de Floride avec une avance de 20 à 25 % ?

99%
Oui
icon for David Jolly sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au poste de gouverneur de Floride ?

David Jolly sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au poste de gouverneur de Floride ?

100%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« James Fishback action avec droit de vote en 2026 Primaire du gouverneur républicain de Floride ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Fishback 10–15 % » à 99%, suivi de « Fishback 25–30 % » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 99¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « James Fishback action avec droit de vote en 2026 Primaire du gouverneur républicain de Floride ? » a généré $343K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « James Fishback action avec droit de vote en 2026 Primaire du gouverneur républicain de Floride ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « James Fishback action avec droit de vote en 2026 Primaire du gouverneur républicain de Floride ? » est « Fishback 10–15 % » à 99%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Fishback 25–30 % » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « James Fishback action avec droit de vote en 2026 Primaire du gouverneur républicain de Floride ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.