**High trader confidence in a "No" outcome for James Comey being sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026, stems primarily from the timeline and procedural realities of his April 2026 federal indictment in North Carolina.** The two-count case alleges threats against President Trump via a 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47.” Comey has maintained his innocence, with defense filings challenging the prosecution on selective and vindictive grounds. A jury trial is scheduled for October 2026, leaving limited room for conviction, sentencing, and any appeals to conclude before year-end. Prior related charges from 2025 were dismissed on appointment grounds, with appeals still pending in some instances. The elevated evidentiary standard for proving a “true threat” under federal statutes further supports the market’s assessment. A rapid guilty verdict and immediate sentencing before the resolution deadline represent the main scenarios that could shift probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
2% chance
$156,897 Vol.
$156,897 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
2% chance
$156,897 Vol.
$156,897 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**High trader confidence in a "No" outcome for James Comey being sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026, stems primarily from the timeline and procedural realities of his April 2026 federal indictment in North Carolina.** The two-count case alleges threats against President Trump via a 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47.” Comey has maintained his innocence, with defense filings challenging the prosecution on selective and vindictive grounds. A jury trial is scheduled for October 2026, leaving limited room for conviction, sentencing, and any appeals to conclude before year-end. Prior related charges from 2025 were dismissed on appointment grounds, with appeals still pending in some instances. The elevated evidentiary standard for proving a “true threat” under federal statutes further supports the market’s assessment. A rapid guilty verdict and immediate sentencing before the resolution deadline represent the main scenarios that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$156,897Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**High trader confidence in a "No" outcome for James Comey being sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026, stems primarily from the timeline and procedural realities of his April 2026 federal indictment in North Carolina.** The two-count case alleges threats against President Trump via a 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47.” Comey has maintained his innocence, with defense filings challenging the prosecution on selective and vindictive grounds. A jury trial is scheduled for October 2026, leaving limited room for conviction, sentencing, and any appeals to conclude before year-end. Prior related charges from 2025 were dismissed on appointment grounds, with appeals still pending in some instances. The elevated evidentiary standard for proving a “true threat” under federal statutes further supports the market’s assessment. A rapid guilty verdict and immediate sentencing before the resolution deadline represent the main scenarios that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$156,897Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**High trader confidence in a "No" outcome for James Comey being sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026, stems primarily from the timeline and procedural realities of his April 2026 federal indictment in North Carolina.** The two-count case alleges threats against President Trump via a 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47.” Comey has maintained his innocence, with defense filings challenging the prosecution on selective and vindictive grounds. A jury trial is scheduled for October 2026, leaving limited room for conviction, sentencing, and any appeals to conclude before year-end. Prior related charges from 2025 were dismissed on appointment grounds, with appeals still pending in some instances. The elevated evidentiary standard for proving a “true threat” under federal statutes further supports the market’s assessment. A rapid guilty verdict and immediate sentencing before the resolution deadline represent the main scenarios that could shift probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes