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icon for Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ?

Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ?

icon for Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ?

Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ?

$1,160,104 Vol.

30 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$1,160,104 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$102,688 Vol.

<1%

December 31

$322,815 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that under the June 26, 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement with Lebanon, the IDF would conduct limited pilot withdrawals from two small areas—one north of the Litani River recently captured and deemed non-essential, and one south of it—transferring them to Lebanese Armed Forces control as a test of conditions-based redeployment. The deal conditions any broader pullback from the expanded security zone, including territory beyond the Litani, on verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army deployment to prevent militant infrastructure, rather than a fixed timeline. Hezbollah rejected the accord as a sovereignty concession, while Israel has emphasized maintaining the buffer zone indefinitely until threats diminish. Ongoing strikes, Lebanese political divisions, and U.S.-facilitated coordination continue to shape implementation prospects through late 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$1,160,104
Marché ouvert
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that under the June 26, 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement with Lebanon, the IDF would conduct limited pilot withdrawals from two small areas—one north of the Litani River recently captured and deemed non-essential, and one south of it—transferring them to Lebanese Armed Forces control as a test of conditions-based redeployment. The deal conditions any broader pullback from the expanded security zone, including territory beyond the Litani, on verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army deployment to prevent militant infrastructure, rather than a fixed timeline. Hezbollah rejected the accord as a sovereignty concession, while Israel has emphasized maintaining the buffer zone indefinitely until threats diminish. Ongoing strikes, Lebanese political divisions, and U.S.-facilitated coordination continue to shape implementation prospects through late 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$1,160,104
Marché ouvert
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « December 31 » à 11%, suivi de « August 31 » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 11¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 11% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ? » a généré $1.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 7, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ? » est « December 31 » à 11%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 11% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « August 31 » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.