Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network point to a high near 26–27°C for Toronto on August 6 amid cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with normal maxima around 27°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap or briefly boost readings by a degree or two. Trader consensus clustering on 28–29°C reflects model spreads and the possibility of partial clearing allowing stronger insolation, while lower probabilities on 30°C+ align with the limited heating potential under persistent cloud. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in diurnal maximum timing and moisture effects. Updated model runs and official observations near peak heating hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Toronto le 6 août ?
29°C 41%
28°C 35%
30°C 17%
27°C 9%
$20,338 Vol.
$20,338 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
35%
29°C
41%
30°C
17%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 35%
30°C 17%
27°C 9%
$20,338 Vol.
$20,338 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
35%
29°C
41%
30°C
17%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network point to a high near 26–27°C for Toronto on August 6 amid cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with normal maxima around 27°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap or briefly boost readings by a degree or two. Trader consensus clustering on 28–29°C reflects model spreads and the possibility of partial clearing allowing stronger insolation, while lower probabilities on 30°C+ align with the limited heating potential under persistent cloud. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in diurnal maximum timing and moisture effects. Updated model runs and official observations near peak heating hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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