Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by a shift to westerly flow, rising humidity near 60%, and 20–80% chance of showers that limit daytime heating. This follows hotter, clearer conditions today near 33–34°C, with the incoming moisture and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) preventing further buildup. Seasonal norms for mid-September hover around 28–30°C, and current consensus across multiple runs shows limited upside beyond 31°C absent model shifts before resolution. Traders have priced 30–31°C outcomes above 95% combined implied probability, reflecting tight agreement in short-range guidance ahead of overnight observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 18 septembre ?
31°C 56%
30°C 41%
29°C 3%
32°C 3%
$11,394 Vol.
$11,394 Vol.
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
41%
31°C
56%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 41%
29°C 3%
32°C 3%
$11,394 Vol.
$11,394 Vol.
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
41%
31°C
56%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by a shift to westerly flow, rising humidity near 60%, and 20–80% chance of showers that limit daytime heating. This follows hotter, clearer conditions today near 33–34°C, with the incoming moisture and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) preventing further buildup. Seasonal norms for mid-September hover around 28–30°C, and current consensus across multiple runs shows limited upside beyond 31°C absent model shifts before resolution. Traders have priced 30–31°C outcomes above 95% combined implied probability, reflecting tight agreement in short-range guidance ahead of overnight observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes