Forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on September 17 under clear, sunny skies and light westerly winds, driving the 75% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-September Mediterranean conditions feature stable high pressure and modest humidity, supporting peak readings near the upper end of the typical 30–34°C seasonal range without significant cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling to suppress temperatures. Model guidance shows minimal spread, with only modest upside risk from localized heating pushing a small probability toward 35°C. Traders appear to weigh official forecast thresholds and historical verification data heavily, leaving lower outcomes like 33°C or below with limited implied odds absent unexpected cooling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 17 septembre ?
34°C 75%
35°C 13%
33°C 10%
36°C 2%
$25,364 Vol.
$25,364 Vol.
17 sept. 2026
30°C ou moins
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
10%
34°C
75%
35°C
13%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C ou plus
<1%
34°C 75%
35°C 13%
33°C 10%
36°C 2%
$25,364 Vol.
$25,364 Vol.
17 sept. 2026
30°C ou moins
$945 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,102 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$488 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,080 Vol.
10%
34°C
$7,570 Vol.
75%
35°C
$4,318 Vol.
13%
36°C
$4,045 Vol.
2%
37°C
$2,534 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$789 Vol.
1%
39°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
40°C ou plus
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on September 17 under clear, sunny skies and light westerly winds, driving the 75% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-September Mediterranean conditions feature stable high pressure and modest humidity, supporting peak readings near the upper end of the typical 30–34°C seasonal range without significant cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling to suppress temperatures. Model guidance shows minimal spread, with only modest upside risk from localized heating pushing a small probability toward 35°C. Traders appear to weigh official forecast thresholds and historical verification data heavily, leaving lower outcomes like 33°C or below with limited implied odds absent unexpected cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$25,364Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on September 17 under clear, sunny skies and light westerly winds, driving the 75% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-September Mediterranean conditions feature stable high pressure and modest humidity, supporting peak readings near the upper end of the typical 30–34°C seasonal range without significant cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling to suppress temperatures. Model guidance shows minimal spread, with only modest upside risk from localized heating pushing a small probability toward 35°C. Traders appear to weigh official forecast thresholds and historical verification data heavily, leaving lower outcomes like 33°C or below with limited implied odds absent unexpected cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,364Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on September 17 under clear, sunny skies and light westerly winds, driving the 75% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-September Mediterranean conditions feature stable high pressure and modest humidity, supporting peak readings near the upper end of the typical 30–34°C seasonal range without significant cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling to suppress temperatures. Model guidance shows minimal spread, with only modest upside risk from localized heating pushing a small probability toward 35°C. Traders appear to weigh official forecast thresholds and historical verification data heavily, leaving lower outcomes like 33°C or below with limited implied odds absent unexpected cooling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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