Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C in Munich on August 5, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5 % for 34 °C and 36.5 % for 33 °C. Persistent high-pressure conditions, light winds, and minimal cloud cover are expected to support strong daytime heating over southern Bavaria, where soil moisture remains relatively low after recent dry spells. These factors have lifted implied probabilities for the upper-30s range above historical August averages of 23–25 °C, while keeping odds for 35 °C or higher below 10 % given modest model spread and the absence of stronger southerly advection. Updated runs overnight or early on August 5 will be the next key data points for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 5 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 5 août ?
34°C 51%
33°C 37%
35°C 9%
32°C 4%
NOUVEAU
$10,766 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,766 Vol.
5 août 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
37%
34°C
51%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 51%
33°C 37%
35°C 9%
32°C 4%
NOUVEAU
$10,766 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,766 Vol.
5 août 2026
30°C or below
$696 Vol.
1%
31°C
$754 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,700 Vol.
4%
33°C
$1,115 Vol.
37%
34°C
$2,303 Vol.
51%
35°C
$1,616 Vol.
9%
36°C
$847 Vol.
2%
37°C
$743 Vol.
1%
38°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C in Munich on August 5, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5 % for 34 °C and 36.5 % for 33 °C. Persistent high-pressure conditions, light winds, and minimal cloud cover are expected to support strong daytime heating over southern Bavaria, where soil moisture remains relatively low after recent dry spells. These factors have lifted implied probabilities for the upper-30s range above historical August averages of 23–25 °C, while keeping odds for 35 °C or higher below 10 % given modest model spread and the absence of stronger southerly advection. Updated runs overnight or early on August 5 will be the next key data points for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,766Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C in Munich on August 5, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5 % for 34 °C and 36.5 % for 33 °C. Persistent high-pressure conditions, light winds, and minimal cloud cover are expected to support strong daytime heating over southern Bavaria, where soil moisture remains relatively low after recent dry spells. These factors have lifted implied probabilities for the upper-30s range above historical August averages of 23–25 °C, while keeping odds for 35 °C or higher below 10 % given modest model spread and the absence of stronger southerly advection. Updated runs overnight or early on August 5 will be the next key data points for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,766Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C in Munich on August 5, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5 % for 34 °C and 36.5 % for 33 °C. Persistent high-pressure conditions, light winds, and minimal cloud cover are expected to support strong daytime heating over southern Bavaria, where soil moisture remains relatively low after recent dry spells. These factors have lifted implied probabilities for the upper-30s range above historical August averages of 23–25 °C, while keeping odds for 35 °C or higher below 10 % given modest model spread and the absence of stronger southerly advection. Updated runs overnight or early on August 5 will be the next key data points for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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