Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate mild winter conditions for Cape Town on August 7, with daytime maxima most likely settling near the climatological average of 17–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow. This positions the 19°C and 18°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential from a passing weak front and no significant subtropical ridge influence. Historical data place August highs around 17°C on average, with typical day-to-day variability of ±2–3°C, while current observations confirm no anomalous heat or cold advection in the preceding 48 hours. Updated model runs and official briefings from the South African Weather Service over the next 12–24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 7 août ?
La température la plus élevée au Cap le 7 août ?
19°C 40%
18°C 25%
20°C 18%
17°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
14°C ou moins
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
25%
19°C
40%
20°C
18%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
19°C 40%
18°C 25%
20°C 18%
17°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
14°C ou moins
$65 Vol.
2%
15°C
$75 Vol.
3%
16°C
$289 Vol.
3%
17°C
$215 Vol.
8%
18°C
$307 Vol.
25%
19°C
$361 Vol.
40%
20°C
$9 Vol.
18%
21°C
$212 Vol.
3%
22°C
$136 Vol.
1%
23°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou plus
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate mild winter conditions for Cape Town on August 7, with daytime maxima most likely settling near the climatological average of 17–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow. This positions the 19°C and 18°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential from a passing weak front and no significant subtropical ridge influence. Historical data place August highs around 17°C on average, with typical day-to-day variability of ±2–3°C, while current observations confirm no anomalous heat or cold advection in the preceding 48 hours. Updated model runs and official briefings from the South African Weather Service over the next 12–24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,935Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate mild winter conditions for Cape Town on August 7, with daytime maxima most likely settling near the climatological average of 17–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow. This positions the 19°C and 18°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential from a passing weak front and no significant subtropical ridge influence. Historical data place August highs around 17°C on average, with typical day-to-day variability of ±2–3°C, while current observations confirm no anomalous heat or cold advection in the preceding 48 hours. Updated model runs and official briefings from the South African Weather Service over the next 12–24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,935Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate mild winter conditions for Cape Town on August 7, with daytime maxima most likely settling near the climatological average of 17–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow. This positions the 19°C and 18°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential from a passing weak front and no significant subtropical ridge influence. Historical data place August highs around 17°C on average, with typical day-to-day variability of ±2–3°C, while current observations confirm no anomalous heat or cold advection in the preceding 48 hours. Updated model runs and official briefings from the South African Weather Service over the next 12–24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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