Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicate a maximum of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, with periods of strong storms, northerly then southerly winds, and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 15°C (37.5%), as cooler advection and reduced insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter suppress readings below the month’s typical 15–17°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential absent clearer skies, with traders incorporating verified observational baselines and resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 6 août ?
14°C 56%
15°C 38%
16°C 6%
17°C <1%
$17,562 Vol.
$17,562 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
56%
15°C
38%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 56%
15°C 38%
16°C 6%
17°C <1%
$17,562 Vol.
$17,562 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
56%
15°C
38%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicate a maximum of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, with periods of strong storms, northerly then southerly winds, and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 15°C (37.5%), as cooler advection and reduced insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter suppress readings below the month’s typical 15–17°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential absent clearer skies, with traders incorporating verified observational baselines and resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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