**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models places the September 13 high in Austin near 99–100 °F under mostly sunny skies, south winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated humidity.** This setup supports strong daytime heating typical of late-summer Central Texas conditions, with heat-index values forecast to reach 106–107 °F. Recent model runs and NWS updates issued on September 12 show stable guidance with only minor variations, keeping the expected peak in the upper 90s to low 100s. Historical context reinforces the outlook: the September 13 average high is 91.6 °F, while the all-time record stands at 102 °F (2011), so current conditions align with an above-normal but not extreme event. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with the 100–101 °F and 98–99 °F bins holding the large majority of implied probability. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon cloud buildup or isolated showers that could trim the high by a degree or two, but no significant cool-air advection or widespread precipitation is indicated before the daily maximum occurs. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will provide the clearest near-term signal for final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 13 septembre ?
100-101°F 52%
98-99°F 38%
96-97°F 8%
102-103°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
89°F ou moins
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
7%
104-105 °F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F ou plus
1%
100-101°F 52%
98-99°F 38%
96-97°F 8%
102-103°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
89°F ou moins
$337 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$217 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$123 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$126 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$1,175 Vol.
8%
98-99°F
$677 Vol.
38%
100-101°F
$1,838 Vol.
52%
102-103°F
$341 Vol.
7%
104-105 °F
$70 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$96 Vol.
1%
108°F ou plus
$240 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models places the September 13 high in Austin near 99–100 °F under mostly sunny skies, south winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated humidity.** This setup supports strong daytime heating typical of late-summer Central Texas conditions, with heat-index values forecast to reach 106–107 °F.
Recent model runs and NWS updates issued on September 12 show stable guidance with only minor variations, keeping the expected peak in the upper 90s to low 100s. Historical context reinforces the outlook: the September 13 average high is 91.6 °F, while the all-time record stands at 102 °F (2011), so current conditions align with an above-normal but not extreme event.
Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with the 100–101 °F and 98–99 °F bins holding the large majority of implied probability. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon cloud buildup or isolated showers that could trim the high by a degree or two, but no significant cool-air advection or widespread precipitation is indicated before the daily maximum occurs. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will provide the clearest near-term signal for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,240Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models places the September 13 high in Austin near 99–100 °F under mostly sunny skies, south winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated humidity.** This setup supports strong daytime heating typical of late-summer Central Texas conditions, with heat-index values forecast to reach 106–107 °F.
Recent model runs and NWS updates issued on September 12 show stable guidance with only minor variations, keeping the expected peak in the upper 90s to low 100s. Historical context reinforces the outlook: the September 13 average high is 91.6 °F, while the all-time record stands at 102 °F (2011), so current conditions align with an above-normal but not extreme event.
Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with the 100–101 °F and 98–99 °F bins holding the large majority of implied probability. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon cloud buildup or isolated showers that could trim the high by a degree or two, but no significant cool-air advection or widespread precipitation is indicated before the daily maximum occurs. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will provide the clearest near-term signal for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,240Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models places the September 13 high in Austin near 99–100 °F under mostly sunny skies, south winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated humidity.** This setup supports strong daytime heating typical of late-summer Central Texas conditions, with heat-index values forecast to reach 106–107 °F. Recent model runs and NWS updates issued on September 12 show stable guidance with only minor variations, keeping the expected peak in the upper 90s to low 100s. Historical context reinforces the outlook: the September 13 average high is 91.6 °F, while the all-time record stands at 102 °F (2011), so current conditions align with an above-normal but not extreme event. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with the 100–101 °F and 98–99 °F bins holding the large majority of implied probability. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon cloud buildup or isolated showers that could trim the high by a degree or two, but no significant cool-air advection or widespread precipitation is indicated before the daily maximum occurs. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will provide the clearest near-term signal for final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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