Official meteorological observations confirm Ankara reached a daily maximum of 32°C on September 12 under clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for early autumn in the Anatolian plateau where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. Multiple forecast models converged on this value with minimal spread, and real-time station data from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service aligned precisely with the 32°C threshold throughout the afternoon peak. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this verified outcome, as resolution criteria rely on official highest-temperature readings rather than forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could alter the result, both of which remain statistically improbable given the consistency across independent monitoring networks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 12 septembre ?
32°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$31,058 Vol.
$31,058 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Oui
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C ou plus
Non
32°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$31,058 Vol.
$31,058 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$188 Vol.
Non
26°C
$80 Vol.
Non
27°C
$85 Vol.
Non
28°C
$80 Vol.
Non
29°C
$80 Vol.
Non
30°C
$2,460 Vol.
Non
31°C
$8,142 Vol.
Non
32°C
$9,523 Vol.
Oui
33°C
$6,040 Vol.
Non
34°C
$3,394 Vol.
Non
35°C ou plus
$986 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations confirm Ankara reached a daily maximum of 32°C on September 12 under clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for early autumn in the Anatolian plateau where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. Multiple forecast models converged on this value with minimal spread, and real-time station data from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service aligned precisely with the 32°C threshold throughout the afternoon peak. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this verified outcome, as resolution criteria rely on official highest-temperature readings rather than forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could alter the result, both of which remain statistically improbable given the consistency across independent monitoring networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,058Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations confirm Ankara reached a daily maximum of 32°C on September 12 under clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for early autumn in the Anatolian plateau where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. Multiple forecast models converged on this value with minimal spread, and real-time station data from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service aligned precisely with the 32°C threshold throughout the afternoon peak. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this verified outcome, as resolution criteria rely on official highest-temperature readings rather than forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could alter the result, both of which remain statistically improbable given the consistency across independent monitoring networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,058Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official meteorological observations confirm Ankara reached a daily maximum of 32°C on September 12 under clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for early autumn in the Anatolian plateau where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. Multiple forecast models converged on this value with minimal spread, and real-time station data from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service aligned precisely with the 32°C threshold throughout the afternoon peak. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this verified outcome, as resolution criteria rely on official highest-temperature readings rather than forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could alter the result, both of which remain statistically improbable given the consistency across independent monitoring networks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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