Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Fukushima
Politique·Japon

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Fukushima

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Fukushima
Politique·Japon

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Fukushima

Masao Uchibori 95%

Yudai Endo 2.9%

Kunihiko Hasenuma 1.7%

Jun Kanayama <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Masao Uchibori 95%

Yudai Endo 2.9%

Kunihiko Hasenuma 1.7%

Jun Kanayama <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Masao Uchibori

Masao Uchibori

$3,656 Vol.

95%

icon for Yudai Endo

Yudai Endo

$325 Vol.

3%

icon for Kunihiko Hasenuma

Kunihiko Hasenuma

$251 Vol.

2%

icon for Jun Kanayama

Jun Kanayama

$212 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).Incumbent Masao Uchibori holds a commanding lead in the Fukushima gubernatorial election market due to his long tenure since 2014, cross-party backing including a March 2026 LDP prefectural federation resolution, and focus on post-2011 reconstruction priorities. The November 10 term expiry sets the contest for an October 25 vote after an October 8 announcement, with limited organized opposition emerging among declared or potential challengers. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency in Japanese prefectural races and the absence of major recent developments that would elevate any alternative. Late shifts remain possible if a high-profile independent or coordinated challenge gains traction before the filing deadline, though no such movement has materialized to date.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).
Volume
$4,444
Date de fin
25 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).Incumbent Masao Uchibori holds a commanding lead in the Fukushima gubernatorial election market due to his long tenure since 2014, cross-party backing including a March 2026 LDP prefectural federation resolution, and focus on post-2011 reconstruction priorities. The November 10 term expiry sets the contest for an October 25 vote after an October 8 announcement, with limited organized opposition emerging among declared or potential challengers. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency in Japanese prefectural races and the absence of major recent developments that would elevate any alternative. Late shifts remain possible if a high-profile independent or coordinated challenge gains traction before the filing deadline, though no such movement has materialized to date.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).
Volume
$4,444
Date de fin
25 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Genta Koja remportera-t-il l'élection du gouverneur d'Okinawa en 2026 ?

Genta Koja remportera-t-il l'élection du gouverneur d'Okinawa en 2026 ?

54%
Oui
icon for Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

67%
icon for Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?

Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?

97%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Fukushima » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Masao Uchibori » à 95%, suivi de « Yudai Endo » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Fukushima » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 20, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Fukushima », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Fukushima » est « Masao Uchibori » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Yudai Endo » à 3%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Fukushima » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.