Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds a structural edge in Florida's 27th District, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan voting index. Her prior general election margins above 60 percent reflect the district's composition in Miami-Dade and surrounding areas that have trended Republican in recent cycles. The August 18 Republican primary against challenger V. Michael Arias precedes the November general, while Democratic contenders Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero compete in their own primary. Recent polling and fundraising data underscore limited Democratic inroads, aligning with the 76.5 percent Republican outcome priced by traders as the consensus view of the seat's competitive but GOP-leaning profile ahead of the midterms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-27
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-27
$18,775 Vol.
$18,775 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
76%
Parti démocrate
20%
$18,775 Vol.
$18,775 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$9,378 Vol.
76%
Parti démocrate
$9,397 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds a structural edge in Florida's 27th District, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan voting index. Her prior general election margins above 60 percent reflect the district's composition in Miami-Dade and surrounding areas that have trended Republican in recent cycles. The August 18 Republican primary against challenger V. Michael Arias precedes the November general, while Democratic contenders Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero compete in their own primary. Recent polling and fundraising data underscore limited Democratic inroads, aligning with the 76.5 percent Republican outcome priced by traders as the consensus view of the seat's competitive but GOP-leaning profile ahead of the midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$18,775Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds a structural edge in Florida's 27th District, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan voting index. Her prior general election margins above 60 percent reflect the district's composition in Miami-Dade and surrounding areas that have trended Republican in recent cycles. The August 18 Republican primary against challenger V. Michael Arias precedes the November general, while Democratic contenders Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero compete in their own primary. Recent polling and fundraising data underscore limited Democratic inroads, aligning with the 76.5 percent Republican outcome priced by traders as the consensus view of the seat's competitive but GOP-leaning profile ahead of the midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,775Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds a structural edge in Florida's 27th District, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan voting index. Her prior general election margins above 60 percent reflect the district's composition in Miami-Dade and surrounding areas that have trended Republican in recent cycles. The August 18 Republican primary against challenger V. Michael Arias precedes the November general, while Democratic contenders Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero compete in their own primary. Recent polling and fundraising data underscore limited Democratic inroads, aligning with the 76.5 percent Republican outcome priced by traders as the consensus view of the seat's competitive but GOP-leaning profile ahead of the midterms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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