The early stage of the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination race keeps the field wide open, with no dominant contender emerging more than two years before the primaries. Trader consensus currently assigns the highest implied probability to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, followed closely by Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff, reflecting name recognition, fundraising capacity, and positioning within key voting blocs and state-level offices. Recent developments such as Senate and gubernatorial activities, along with ongoing party coalition dynamics, have yet to produce clear separation among the top names. Scheduled events including the 2026 midterms and subsequent primary debates could shift probabilities as candidates build national profiles and test electoral strength. The tight spread among leading options underscores uncertainty typical of contests this far from Iowa and New Hampshire.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCandidat démocrate à la présidence 2028
Candidat démocrate à la présidence 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22.7%
Gavin Newsom 14.9%
Jon Ossoff 14.8%
Kamala Harris 7.4%
$1,266,185,388 Vol.
$1,266,185,388 Vol.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
23%
Gavin Newsom
15%
Jon Ossoff
15%
Kamala Harris
7%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Mark Kelly
3%
Andy Beshear
3%
Rahm Emanuel
2%
Ro Khanna
2%
James Talarico
2%
Wes Moore
2%
J.B. Pritzker
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Dwayne « The Rock » Johnson
1%
Raphael Warnock
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Jon Stewart
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Bernie Sanders
<1%
Hunter Biden
<1%
Zohran Mamdani
<1%
John Fetterman
<1%
Chris Murphy
<1%
Roy Cooper
<1%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Oprah Winfrey
<1%
Gina Raimondo
<1%
Barack Obama
<1%
George Clooney
<1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Beto O’Rourke
<1%
Ruben Gallego
<1%
LeBron James
<1%
Jasmine Crockett
<1%
Elissa Slotkin
<1%
Abigail Spanberger
<1%
Josh Stein
<1%
Tim Walz
<1%
Andrew Yang
<1%
Kim Kardashian
<1%
Jared Polis
<1%
Phil Murphy
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
MrBeast
<1%
Graham Platner
<1%
Hillary Clinton
<1%
Adam Schiff
<1%
Alex Padilla
<1%
Hakeem Jeffries
<1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22.7%
Gavin Newsom 14.9%
Jon Ossoff 14.8%
Kamala Harris 7.4%
$1,266,185,388 Vol.
$1,266,185,388 Vol.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
23%
Gavin Newsom
15%
Jon Ossoff
15%
Kamala Harris
7%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Mark Kelly
3%
Andy Beshear
3%
Rahm Emanuel
2%
Ro Khanna
2%
James Talarico
2%
Wes Moore
2%
J.B. Pritzker
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Dwayne « The Rock » Johnson
1%
Raphael Warnock
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Jon Stewart
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Bernie Sanders
<1%
Hunter Biden
<1%
Zohran Mamdani
<1%
John Fetterman
<1%
Chris Murphy
<1%
Roy Cooper
<1%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Oprah Winfrey
<1%
Gina Raimondo
<1%
Barack Obama
<1%
George Clooney
<1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Beto O’Rourke
<1%
Ruben Gallego
<1%
LeBron James
<1%
Jasmine Crockett
<1%
Elissa Slotkin
<1%
Abigail Spanberger
<1%
Josh Stein
<1%
Tim Walz
<1%
Andrew Yang
<1%
Kim Kardashian
<1%
Jared Polis
<1%
Phil Murphy
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
MrBeast
<1%
Graham Platner
<1%
Hillary Clinton
<1%
Adam Schiff
<1%
Alex Padilla
<1%
Hakeem Jeffries
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The early stage of the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination race keeps the field wide open, with no dominant contender emerging more than two years before the primaries. Trader consensus currently assigns the highest implied probability to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, followed closely by Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff, reflecting name recognition, fundraising capacity, and positioning within key voting blocs and state-level offices. Recent developments such as Senate and gubernatorial activities, along with ongoing party coalition dynamics, have yet to produce clear separation among the top names. Scheduled events including the 2026 midterms and subsequent primary debates could shift probabilities as candidates build national profiles and test electoral strength. The tight spread among leading options underscores uncertainty typical of contests this far from Iowa and New Hampshire.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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