Katie Hobbs holds an 87.5% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, while Republican nominee Andy Biggs sits at 11%, according to trader consensus. As the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, Hobbs benefits from consistent polling leads of 6–10 points statewide in recent surveys, with particularly strong support among independents, women, and urban/suburban voters in the state's largest county. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July primary but trails in head-to-head matchups, reflecting narrower appeal outside rural areas. Recent campaign developments, including Democratic efforts to consolidate support ahead of the general election, have reinforced expectations that Maricopa's voter composition will favor the incumbent over the challenger.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
89%
Andy Biggs (R)
11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
$1,454 Vol.
89%
Andy Biggs (R)
$116 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 87.5% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, while Republican nominee Andy Biggs sits at 11%, according to trader consensus. As the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, Hobbs benefits from consistent polling leads of 6–10 points statewide in recent surveys, with particularly strong support among independents, women, and urban/suburban voters in the state's largest county. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July primary but trails in head-to-head matchups, reflecting narrower appeal outside rural areas. Recent campaign developments, including Democratic efforts to consolidate support ahead of the general election, have reinforced expectations that Maricopa's voter composition will favor the incumbent over the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$1,570Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 87.5% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, while Republican nominee Andy Biggs sits at 11%, according to trader consensus. As the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, Hobbs benefits from consistent polling leads of 6–10 points statewide in recent surveys, with particularly strong support among independents, women, and urban/suburban voters in the state's largest county. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July primary but trails in head-to-head matchups, reflecting narrower appeal outside rural areas. Recent campaign developments, including Democratic efforts to consolidate support ahead of the general election, have reinforced expectations that Maricopa's voter composition will favor the incumbent over the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Volume
$1,570Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Katie Hobbs holds an 87.5% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, while Republican nominee Andy Biggs sits at 11%, according to trader consensus. As the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, Hobbs benefits from consistent polling leads of 6–10 points statewide in recent surveys, with particularly strong support among independents, women, and urban/suburban voters in the state's largest county. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July primary but trails in head-to-head matchups, reflecting narrower appeal outside rural areas. Recent campaign developments, including Democratic efforts to consolidate support ahead of the general election, have reinforced expectations that Maricopa's voter composition will favor the incumbent over the challenger.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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