Brazil's Senate has never impeached an STF justice despite numerous past requests, reflecting high procedural thresholds and consistent leadership reluctance to advance complaints. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes further restricted filings primarily to the Attorney General's office while suspending key provisions of the 1950 impeachment law, with the court also preparing tighter internal rules ahead of the October 2026 elections. Current Senate composition and alignment with the Lula administration continue to shield justices amid ongoing opposition petitions, such as the August 2026 filing targeting Alexandre de Moraes. The short remaining timeline before 2027 limits any realistic window for completing the multi-step process even if electoral shifts occur.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$83,546 Vol.
$83,546 Vol.
Oui
$83,546 Vol.
$83,546 Vol.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate has never impeached an STF justice despite numerous past requests, reflecting high procedural thresholds and consistent leadership reluctance to advance complaints. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes further restricted filings primarily to the Attorney General's office while suspending key provisions of the 1950 impeachment law, with the court also preparing tighter internal rules ahead of the October 2026 elections. Current Senate composition and alignment with the Lula administration continue to shield justices amid ongoing opposition petitions, such as the August 2026 filing targeting Alexandre de Moraes. The short remaining timeline before 2027 limits any realistic window for completing the multi-step process even if electoral shifts occur.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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