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icon for Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?

Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?

icon for Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?

Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?

$10,684 Vol.

30 sept. 2026
Polymarket

$10,684 Vol.

Polymarket

30 septembre 2026

$26 Vol.

5%

31 décembre 2026

$1,323 Vol.

8%

30 juin 2027

$9,334 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s second-longest-serving member at age 78, has shown no public signs of planning to retire and sources close to him have stated he does not intend to step down in the near term. He continues to participate actively in the Court’s work and is on track to surpass historical longevity records if he remains through 2028. Speculation about vacancies has centered more on Justice Samuel Alito, who publicly confirmed in August 2026 that he plans to serve at least another full term. With no mandatory retirement age and lifetime tenure under the Constitution, any announcement would depend on Thomas’s personal decision rather than institutional deadlines. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026, while November midterm elections could shift Senate dynamics relevant to future confirmations. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of recent catalysts or health disclosures that would alter this outlook.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$10,684
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s second-longest-serving member at age 78, has shown no public signs of planning to retire and sources close to him have stated he does not intend to step down in the near term. He continues to participate actively in the Court’s work and is on track to surpass historical longevity records if he remains through 2028. Speculation about vacancies has centered more on Justice Samuel Alito, who publicly confirmed in August 2026 that he plans to serve at least another full term. With no mandatory retirement age and lifetime tenure under the Constitution, any announcement would depend on Thomas’s personal decision rather than institutional deadlines. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026, while November midterm elections could shift Senate dynamics relevant to future confirmations. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of recent catalysts or health disclosures that would alter this outlook.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$10,684
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 juin 2027 » à 14%, suivi de « 31 décembre 2026 » à 8%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 14¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 14% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? » a généré $10.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? » est « 30 juin 2027 » à 14%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 14% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 décembre 2026 » à 8%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.