The S&P 500 closed at 7,652.86 on August 24, 2026, down 0.28% and roughly 1.9% below its August 13 record of 7,798.99, amid elevated geopolitical tensions over potential U.S. sanctions on Iran and its trade partners. Traders are pricing in volatility from Nvidia’s earnings release later in the week, July PCE inflation data, and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks, which could influence expectations for monetary policy amid sticky inflation and high long-term Treasury yields. Corporate earnings growth remains robust, with S&P 500 constituents reporting strong profit expansion year-to-date, though recent weakness in technology and semiconductor names has weighed on the index. Year-to-date gains stand near 11.8%, supported by AI-driven fundamentals but tempered by bond market pressures and Middle East risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$17,534 Vol.
↑ $800
1%
↑ $795
5%
↑ $790
3%
↑ $785
6%
↑ $780
17%
↑ $775
33%
↑ $770
71%
↓ $760
61%
↓ $755
34%
↓ $750
8%
↓ $745
9%
↓ $740
6%
↓ $735
3%
$17,534 Vol.
↑ $800
1%
↑ $795
5%
↑ $790
3%
↑ $785
6%
↑ $780
17%
↑ $775
33%
↑ $770
71%
↓ $760
61%
↓ $755
34%
↓ $750
8%
↓ $745
9%
↓ $740
6%
↓ $735
3%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed at 7,652.86 on August 24, 2026, down 0.28% and roughly 1.9% below its August 13 record of 7,798.99, amid elevated geopolitical tensions over potential U.S. sanctions on Iran and its trade partners. Traders are pricing in volatility from Nvidia’s earnings release later in the week, July PCE inflation data, and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks, which could influence expectations for monetary policy amid sticky inflation and high long-term Treasury yields. Corporate earnings growth remains robust, with S&P 500 constituents reporting strong profit expansion year-to-date, though recent weakness in technology and semiconductor names has weighed on the index. Year-to-date gains stand near 11.8%, supported by AI-driven fundamentals but tempered by bond market pressures and Middle East risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions