SpaceX shares (SPCX) have traded below their June 2026 IPO price of $135 following an initial post-listing surge that briefly lifted the market cap above $2.2 trillion, with the stock closing near $131 on July 16 amid broader profit-taking and a 45% drawdown from peak levels. Recent analyst coverage, including Piper Sandler’s Neutral rating and $156 price target, highlights near-term execution risks around Starship development and Starlink subscriber growth against a 2025 revenue base of $18.67 billion, while the company’s low public float amplified volatility around its July 7 Nasdaq-100 inclusion. Traders are monitoring upcoming quarterly results and any Starship flight tests for signals on revenue trajectory and margin expansion, as the current valuation near 1.73 trillion implies elevated multiples that remain sensitive to macroeconomic rate expectations and competitive pressures in satellite broadband.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $140
26%
↑ $137.50
32%
↑ $135
43%
↑ $132.50
51%
↑ $130
61%
↓ $117.50
59%
↓ $115
45%
↓ $112.50
34%
↓ $110
25%
↓ $107.50
50%
$1,014 Vol.
↑ $140
26%
↑ $137.50
32%
↑ $135
43%
↑ $132.50
51%
↑ $130
61%
↓ $117.50
59%
↓ $115
45%
↓ $112.50
34%
↓ $110
25%
↓ $107.50
50%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX shares (SPCX) have traded below their June 2026 IPO price of $135 following an initial post-listing surge that briefly lifted the market cap above $2.2 trillion, with the stock closing near $131 on July 16 amid broader profit-taking and a 45% drawdown from peak levels. Recent analyst coverage, including Piper Sandler’s Neutral rating and $156 price target, highlights near-term execution risks around Starship development and Starlink subscriber growth against a 2025 revenue base of $18.67 billion, while the company’s low public float amplified volatility around its July 7 Nasdaq-100 inclusion. Traders are monitoring upcoming quarterly results and any Starship flight tests for signals on revenue trajectory and margin expansion, as the current valuation near 1.73 trillion implies elevated multiples that remain sensitive to macroeconomic rate expectations and competitive pressures in satellite broadband.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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