SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted via the largest IPO in history at $135 in June 2026 for an approximately $1.75–1.8 trillion valuation, have faced sustained selling pressure from the initial insider lock-up expiration tied to the August 4 earnings release, with the stock trading near $115 amid elevated supply. High launch cadence, including record back-to-back Falcon 9 missions on August 15 and multiple Starlink deployments, supports operational momentum and Starlink subscriber growth, while Starship flight-test timelines and FAA licensing delays remain key swing factors for long-term valuation multiples. Traders are monitoring upcoming August launches and any revisions to revenue or margin guidance for shifts in implied probabilities around near-term price thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will SpaceX (SPCX) hit Week of August 17 2026?
↑ $157.50
26%
↑ $155
34%
↑ $152.50
44%
↑ $150
56%
↓ $137.50
60%
↓ $135
50%
↓ $132.50
38%
↓ $130
51%
↓ $127.50
50%
↓ $125
15%
$1,373 Vol.
↑ $157.50
26%
↑ $155
34%
↑ $152.50
44%
↑ $150
56%
↓ $137.50
60%
↓ $135
50%
↓ $132.50
38%
↓ $130
51%
↓ $127.50
50%
↓ $125
15%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted via the largest IPO in history at $135 in June 2026 for an approximately $1.75–1.8 trillion valuation, have faced sustained selling pressure from the initial insider lock-up expiration tied to the August 4 earnings release, with the stock trading near $115 amid elevated supply. High launch cadence, including record back-to-back Falcon 9 missions on August 15 and multiple Starlink deployments, supports operational momentum and Starlink subscriber growth, while Starship flight-test timelines and FAA licensing delays remain key swing factors for long-term valuation multiples. Traders are monitoring upcoming August launches and any revisions to revenue or margin guidance for shifts in implied probabilities around near-term price thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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