Voters in Michigan face an automatic ballot question on November 3, 2026, asking whether to convene a constitutional convention to draft a general revision of the 1963 state constitution. Historical precedent shows consistent rejection of this measure, with no votes at 77 percent in 1978, 72 percent in 1994, and 67 percent in 2010. Organized opposition from groups including the Michigan Education Association highlights risks of broad changes affecting public education, unions, and other policy areas, while no major statewide campaigns or polling shifts have emerged to build support for approval. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for rejection aligns with these patterns and the absence of recent developments that would alter the baseline likelihood of passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated9% chance
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NEW
Nov 2, 2026
9% chance
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Nov 2, 2026
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Voters in Michigan face an automatic ballot question on November 3, 2026, asking whether to convene a constitutional convention to draft a general revision of the 1963 state constitution. Historical precedent shows consistent rejection of this measure, with no votes at 77 percent in 1978, 72 percent in 1994, and 67 percent in 2010. Organized opposition from groups including the Michigan Education Association highlights risks of broad changes affecting public education, unions, and other policy areas, while no major statewide campaigns or polling shifts have emerged to build support for approval. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for rejection aligns with these patterns and the absence of recent developments that would alter the baseline likelihood of passage.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Volume
$7,320End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Voters in Michigan face an automatic ballot question on November 3, 2026, asking whether to convene a constitutional convention to draft a general revision of the 1963 state constitution. Historical precedent shows consistent rejection of this measure, with no votes at 77 percent in 1978, 72 percent in 1994, and 67 percent in 2010. Organized opposition from groups including the Michigan Education Association highlights risks of broad changes affecting public education, unions, and other policy areas, while no major statewide campaigns or polling shifts have emerged to build support for approval. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for rejection aligns with these patterns and the absence of recent developments that would alter the baseline likelihood of passage.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Volume
$7,320End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Voters in Michigan face an automatic ballot question on November 3, 2026, asking whether to convene a constitutional convention to draft a general revision of the 1963 state constitution. Historical precedent shows consistent rejection of this measure, with no votes at 77 percent in 1978, 72 percent in 1994, and 67 percent in 2010. Organized opposition from groups including the Michigan Education Association highlights risks of broad changes affecting public education, unions, and other policy areas, while no major statewide campaigns or polling shifts have emerged to build support for approval. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for rejection aligns with these patterns and the absence of recent developments that would alter the baseline likelihood of passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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