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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

Islam Makhachev 73%

Alexander Volkanovski 11.9%

Alexandre Pantoja 8.8%

Petr Yan 2.6%

Polymarket

$685,989 Vol.

Islam Makhachev 73%

Alexander Volkanovski 11.9%

Alexandre Pantoja 8.8%

Petr Yan 2.6%

Polymarket

$685,989 Vol.

Islam Makhachev

$1,567 Vol.

74%

Alexander Volkanovski

$134,671 Vol.

12%

Alexandre Pantoja

$143,525 Vol.

9%

Petr Yan

$1,244 Vol.

3%

Ilia Topuria

$142,292 Vol.

1%

Tom Aspinall

$1,209 Vol.

1%

Jack Della Maddalena

$2,084 Vol.

1%

Alex Pereira

$842 Vol.

1%

Arman Tsarukyan

$1,262 Vol.

1%

Magomed Ankalaev

$118,472 Vol.

1%

Max Holloway

$1,067 Vol.

1%

Khamzat Chimaev

$134,705 Vol.

1%

Dricus Du Plessis

$978 Vol.

<1%

Joshua Van

$1,154 Vol.

<1%

Merab Dvalishvili

$915 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Islam Makhachev’s commanding 74% implied probability stems from his status as the current UFC pound-for-pound leader and welterweight champion with a 16-fight win streak and 28-1 record. Recent victories, including a unanimous decision over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322 in late 2025, have reinforced his dominance across weight classes after earlier lightweight title defenses. Official UFC rankings list him at No. 1 ahead of Alexander Volkanovski and Petr Yan, reflecting sustained momentum and stylistic advantages in grappling and striking. Volkanovski’s 11.8% share reflects veteran experience and prior reign, while Alexandre Pantoja’s 9% position ties to flyweight success. Upcoming bouts, such as Makhachev’s August 2026 defense against Ian Machado Garry, could further solidify or shift consensus ahead of year-end resolution.

This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$685,989
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Islam Makhachev’s commanding 74% implied probability stems from his status as the current UFC pound-for-pound leader and welterweight champion with a 16-fight win streak and 28-1 record. Recent victories, including a unanimous decision over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322 in late 2025, have reinforced his dominance across weight classes after earlier lightweight title defenses. Official UFC rankings list him at No. 1 ahead of Alexander Volkanovski and Petr Yan, reflecting sustained momentum and stylistic advantages in grappling and striking. Volkanovski’s 11.8% share reflects veteran experience and prior reign, while Alexandre Pantoja’s 9% position ties to flyweight success. Upcoming bouts, such as Makhachev’s August 2026 defense against Ian Machado Garry, could further solidify or shift consensus ahead of year-end resolution.

This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$685,989
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Islam Makhachev" at 74%, followed by "Alexander Volkanovski" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" has generated $686K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" is "Islam Makhachev" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.