US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following expiration of the June 17 memorandum of understanding and its 60-day window for a broader nuclear and sanctions accord. President Trump has publicly ruled out scheduled talks or meetings, while Tehran insists the Strait of Hormuz will stay restricted until Washington lifts its naval blockade, ends sanctions on oil exports, and releases frozen assets. Fresh US secondary sanctions targeting Iranian oil trade with China have drawn Iranian warnings of retaliation, and mediators from Qatar and Pakistan have floated indirect channels without confirmed high-level participation. No new round of direct or mediated negotiations has been verified as imminent before the August 31 cutoff, leaving prospects for attendance by principal figures such as US Vice President Vance or Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi dependent on last-minute de-escalation signals amid ongoing Hormuz disputes and economic pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$96,959 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
46%
Nick Stewart
21%
Rafael Grossi
14%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
Ishaq Dar
4%
Steve Witkoff
4%
Jared Kushner
4%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
4%
Abbas Araghchi
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
J.D. Vance
2%
Pete Hegseth
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Donald Trump
<1%
$96,959 Vol.
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$267 Vol.
46%
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
21%
Rafael Grossi
$886 Vol.
14%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,231 Vol.
5%
Ishaq Dar
$2,920 Vol.
4%
Steve Witkoff
$13,652 Vol.
4%
Jared Kushner
$14,141 Vol.
4%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,315 Vol.
4%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,289 Vol.
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,772 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$11,252 Vol.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 Vol.
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,750 Vol.
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 Vol.
2%
Marco Rubio
$7,729 Vol.
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,781 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$695 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$688 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$7,171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following expiration of the June 17 memorandum of understanding and its 60-day window for a broader nuclear and sanctions accord. President Trump has publicly ruled out scheduled talks or meetings, while Tehran insists the Strait of Hormuz will stay restricted until Washington lifts its naval blockade, ends sanctions on oil exports, and releases frozen assets. Fresh US secondary sanctions targeting Iranian oil trade with China have drawn Iranian warnings of retaliation, and mediators from Qatar and Pakistan have floated indirect channels without confirmed high-level participation. No new round of direct or mediated negotiations has been verified as imminent before the August 31 cutoff, leaving prospects for attendance by principal figures such as US Vice President Vance or Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi dependent on last-minute de-escalation signals amid ongoing Hormuz disputes and economic pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$96,959End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following expiration of the June 17 memorandum of understanding and its 60-day window for a broader nuclear and sanctions accord. President Trump has publicly ruled out scheduled talks or meetings, while Tehran insists the Strait of Hormuz will stay restricted until Washington lifts its naval blockade, ends sanctions on oil exports, and releases frozen assets. Fresh US secondary sanctions targeting Iranian oil trade with China have drawn Iranian warnings of retaliation, and mediators from Qatar and Pakistan have floated indirect channels without confirmed high-level participation. No new round of direct or mediated negotiations has been verified as imminent before the August 31 cutoff, leaving prospects for attendance by principal figures such as US Vice President Vance or Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi dependent on last-minute de-escalation signals amid ongoing Hormuz disputes and economic pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$96,959End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following expiration of the June 17 memorandum of understanding and its 60-day window for a broader nuclear and sanctions accord. President Trump has publicly ruled out scheduled talks or meetings, while Tehran insists the Strait of Hormuz will stay restricted until Washington lifts its naval blockade, ends sanctions on oil exports, and releases frozen assets. Fresh US secondary sanctions targeting Iranian oil trade with China have drawn Iranian warnings of retaliation, and mediators from Qatar and Pakistan have floated indirect channels without confirmed high-level participation. No new round of direct or mediated negotiations has been verified as imminent before the August 31 cutoff, leaving prospects for attendance by principal figures such as US Vice President Vance or Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi dependent on last-minute de-escalation signals amid ongoing Hormuz disputes and economic pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions