Recent Kremlin statements highlight the November APEC summit in China as the most immediate venue for a potential Trump-Putin encounter on the sidelines, provided both leaders attend, though no formal plans or confirmations exist yet. This development has elevated China as the leading location in trader consensus while the slim edge for no meeting by year-end reflects uncertainties around attendance, scheduling constraints, and the stalled state of U.S.-mediated Ukraine negotiations. Prior bilateral contacts, including 2025 summits and multiple 2026 phone calls, underscore routine diplomatic channels without resolving core disputes over territory and security guarantees. Key upcoming catalysts include APEC participation decisions and any breakthroughs or breakdowns in parallel talks that could either enable a China meeting or push resolution beyond December.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 52%
China 43%
Russia 1.3%
Gulf country <1%
$625,137 Vol.
$625,137 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
52%

China
43%

Russia
1%

Gulf country
1%

United States
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Other
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 52%
China 43%
Russia 1.3%
Gulf country <1%
$625,137 Vol.
$625,137 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
52%

China
43%

Russia
1%

Gulf country
1%

United States
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Other
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Kremlin statements highlight the November APEC summit in China as the most immediate venue for a potential Trump-Putin encounter on the sidelines, provided both leaders attend, though no formal plans or confirmations exist yet. This development has elevated China as the leading location in trader consensus while the slim edge for no meeting by year-end reflects uncertainties around attendance, scheduling constraints, and the stalled state of U.S.-mediated Ukraine negotiations. Prior bilateral contacts, including 2025 summits and multiple 2026 phone calls, underscore routine diplomatic channels without resolving core disputes over territory and security guarantees. Key upcoming catalysts include APEC participation decisions and any breakthroughs or breakdowns in parallel talks that could either enable a China meeting or push resolution beyond December.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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