Recent statements from Kremlin officials highlight the potential for a sideline encounter between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin at the November APEC summit in China, where both sides have signaled attendance without confirmed bilateral scheduling. Ongoing Ukraine peace talks remain stalled following earlier 2025-2026 contacts in Alaska and Abu Dhabi, with U.S. officials indicating no immediate in-person plans as of late August. This uncertainty sustains the close contest between a China venue and no year-end meeting, as traders weigh multilateral forum logistics against persistent diplomatic frictions and lack of breakthrough announcements. Confirmation of Trump’s APEC participation or renewed negotiation momentum could shift probabilities, while further delays or alternative events might reinforce the no-meeting outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 52%
China 44%
Russia 1.3%
Gulf country <1%
$625,345 Vol.
$625,345 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
52%

China
44%

Russia
1%

Gulf country
1%

United States
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Other
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 52%
China 44%
Russia 1.3%
Gulf country <1%
$625,345 Vol.
$625,345 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
52%

China
44%

Russia
1%

Gulf country
1%

United States
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Other
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent statements from Kremlin officials highlight the potential for a sideline encounter between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin at the November APEC summit in China, where both sides have signaled attendance without confirmed bilateral scheduling. Ongoing Ukraine peace talks remain stalled following earlier 2025-2026 contacts in Alaska and Abu Dhabi, with U.S. officials indicating no immediate in-person plans as of late August. This uncertainty sustains the close contest between a China venue and no year-end meeting, as traders weigh multilateral forum logistics against persistent diplomatic frictions and lack of breakthrough announcements. Confirmation of Trump’s APEC participation or renewed negotiation momentum could shift probabilities, while further delays or alternative events might reinforce the no-meeting outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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