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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Sep 1

Sep 1

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look 56%

The Whisper Man (2026) 35%

Facing El Chapo 2.7%

Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young <1%

Polymarket

$16,295 Vol.

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look 56%

The Whisper Man (2026) 35%

Facing El Chapo 2.7%

Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young <1%

Polymarket

$16,295 Vol.

icon for The Whisper Man (2026)

The Whisper Man (2026)

$7,975 Vol.

35%

icon for Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young

Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young

$380 Vol.

<1%

icon for Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look

$3,456 Vol.

56%

icon for Facing El Chapo

Facing El Chapo

$3,516 Vol.

3%

icon for The Last House

The Last House

$613 Vol.

<1%

icon for Don't Say Good Luck

Don't Say Good Luck

$355 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The exclusive Netflix premiere of Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look on August 27, featuring 27 minutes of PS5 in-game footage ahead of its November release, has fueled its 56% implied probability as the week's top U.S. movie through strong initial engagement and hype around the Rockstar title. This edges out closely matched contenders like the August 28 debut of the Robert De Niro-Adam Scott crime thriller The Whisper Man (at 35%), which leads recent FlixPatrol charts, and holdovers such as Facing El Chapo. Trader sentiment reflects Netflix's view-based ranking volatility in a week of competing new originals and library titles, with momentum hinging on final daily metrics before the weekly close.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$16,295
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The exclusive Netflix premiere of Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look on August 27, featuring 27 minutes of PS5 in-game footage ahead of its November release, has fueled its 56% implied probability as the week's top U.S. movie through strong initial engagement and hype around the Rockstar title. This edges out closely matched contenders like the August 28 debut of the Robert De Niro-Adam Scott crime thriller The Whisper Man (at 35%), which leads recent FlixPatrol charts, and holdovers such as Facing El Chapo. Trader sentiment reflects Netflix's view-based ranking volatility in a week of competing new originals and library titles, with momentum hinging on final daily metrics before the weekly close.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$16,295
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" at 56%, followed by "The Whisper Man (2026)" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $16.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Whisper Man (2026)" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.