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icon for What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Sep 1

Sep 1

The Whisper Man (2026) 91%

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look 7%

The Last House 3.4%

Don't Say Good Luck 2.3%

Polymarket
NEW

The Whisper Man (2026) 91%

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look 7%

The Last House 3.4%

Don't Say Good Luck 2.3%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for The Whisper Man (2026)

The Whisper Man (2026)

$399 Vol.

91%

icon for Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young

Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young

$177 Vol.

<1%

icon for Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look

$514 Vol.

7%

icon for The Last House

The Last House

$887 Vol.

3%

icon for Don't Say Good Luck

Don't Say Good Luck

$457 Vol.

2%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Whisper Man’s 90.5% implied probability for the #2 global Netflix spot stems from its August 28 release as a major original crime thriller backed by the Russo brothers’ AGBO banner, Robert De Niro, Adam Scott, and Michelle Monaghan. The film’s immediate chart dominance in the U.S. and strong early viewership metrics reflect classic Netflix launch patterns for star-driven, book-adapted genre titles that draw heavy opening-weekend traffic. Traders see limited competition from holdovers like Facing El Chapo or library titles, though a faster-than-expected drop in Whisper Man hours or a surprise surge from Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look could realistically open the door for an upset before week’s end.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,434
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Whisper Man’s 90.5% implied probability for the #2 global Netflix spot stems from its August 28 release as a major original crime thriller backed by the Russo brothers’ AGBO banner, Robert De Niro, Adam Scott, and Michelle Monaghan. The film’s immediate chart dominance in the U.S. and strong early viewership metrics reflect classic Netflix launch patterns for star-driven, book-adapted genre titles that draw heavy opening-weekend traffic. Traders see limited competition from holdovers like Facing El Chapo or library titles, though a faster-than-expected drop in Whisper Man hours or a surprise surge from Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look could realistically open the door for an upset before week’s end.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,434
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

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Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

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icon for Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

56%
icon for Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?

Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Whisper Man (2026)" at 91%, followed by "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is "The Whisper Man (2026)" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.