Recent Treasury bond buyback expansions and a string of softer U.S. data—July payrolls declining 23,000, retail sales missing forecasts, and decelerating CPI—have driven a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve policy, with September rate-hike odds falling below 40 percent. This has eased Treasury yields, pressured the dollar lower, and fueled gold’s 10-plus percent August rally toward the $4,700 area. Structural support persists from central bank purchases exceeding 280 tonnes in Q2 and a rebound in gold-backed ETF inflows near 47 tonnes last week, while Iran-related sanctions add safe-haven demand. Key near-term catalysts include Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks, the September 10 PCE release, and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, which will shape rate-path expectations into month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedXAUUSD$4,642.95+0.15%
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
↑ $5,300
16%
↑ $5,200
23%
↑ $5,100
31%
↑ $5,000
43%
↑ $4,900
57%
↑ $4,800
68%
↑ $4,700
74%
↓ $4,600
76%
↓ $4,500
69%
↓ $4,400
59%
↓ $4,300
43%
↓ $4,200
29%
↓ $4,100
19%
↓ $4,000
12%
XAUUSD$4,642.95+0.15%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $5,300
$0 Vol.
16%
↑ $5,200
$0 Vol.
23%
↑ $5,100
$0 Vol.
31%
↑ $5,000
$0 Vol.
43%
↑ $4,900
$0 Vol.
57%
↑ $4,800
$0 Vol.
68%
↑ $4,700
$0 Vol.
74%
↓ $4,600
$0 Vol.
76%
↓ $4,500
$0 Vol.
69%
↓ $4,400
$0 Vol.
59%
↓ $4,300
$0 Vol.
43%
↓ $4,200
$0 Vol.
29%
↓ $4,100
$0 Vol.
19%
↓ $4,000
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent Treasury bond buyback expansions and a string of softer U.S. data—July payrolls declining 23,000, retail sales missing forecasts, and decelerating CPI—have driven a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve policy, with September rate-hike odds falling below 40 percent. This has eased Treasury yields, pressured the dollar lower, and fueled gold’s 10-plus percent August rally toward the $4,700 area. Structural support persists from central bank purchases exceeding 280 tonnes in Q2 and a rebound in gold-backed ETF inflows near 47 tonnes last week, while Iran-related sanctions add safe-haven demand. Key near-term catalysts include Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks, the September 10 PCE release, and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, which will shape rate-path expectations into month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent Treasury bond buyback expansions and a string of softer U.S. data—July payrolls declining 23,000, retail sales missing forecasts, and decelerating CPI—have driven a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve policy, with September rate-hike odds falling below 40 percent. This has eased Treasury yields, pressured the dollar lower, and fueled gold’s 10-plus percent August rally toward the $4,700 area. Structural support persists from central bank purchases exceeding 280 tonnes in Q2 and a rebound in gold-backed ETF inflows near 47 tonnes last week, while Iran-related sanctions add safe-haven demand. Key near-term catalysts include Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks, the September 10 PCE release, and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, which will shape rate-path expectations into month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Treasury bond buyback expansions and a string of softer U.S. data—July payrolls declining 23,000, retail sales missing forecasts, and decelerating CPI—have driven a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve policy, with September rate-hike odds falling below 40 percent. This has eased Treasury yields, pressured the dollar lower, and fueled gold’s 10-plus percent August rally toward the $4,700 area. Structural support persists from central bank purchases exceeding 280 tonnes in Q2 and a rebound in gold-backed ETF inflows near 47 tonnes last week, while Iran-related sanctions add safe-haven demand. Key near-term catalysts include Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks, the September 10 PCE release, and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, which will shape rate-path expectations into month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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