Saudi Aramco is advancing bypass infrastructure around damaged pumping stations on the East-West Petroline after drone attacks on September 10 forced its shutdown, positioning the line to restore roughly half its prior 4–5 million barrel-per-day throughput within days and full capacity in approximately six weeks. The outage, representing 4–5% of global supply, has lifted Brent crude above $106 per barrel while prompting Aramco to defer European cargoes and redirect volumes amid constrained Strait of Hormuz traffic. Market-implied odds on near-term restarts reflect trader focus on Aramco’s parallel-line design allowing partial operations during repairs, tempered by uncertainty over spare-parts availability and ongoing regional security risks that could extend timelines or trigger further disruptions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$670,794 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 22
9%
September 30
34%
October 31
73%
$670,794 Vol.
September 22
$171,858 Vol.
9%
September 30
$351,812 Vol.
34%
October 31
$41,605 Vol.
73%
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Aramco is advancing bypass infrastructure around damaged pumping stations on the East-West Petroline after drone attacks on September 10 forced its shutdown, positioning the line to restore roughly half its prior 4–5 million barrel-per-day throughput within days and full capacity in approximately six weeks. The outage, representing 4–5% of global supply, has lifted Brent crude above $106 per barrel while prompting Aramco to defer European cargoes and redirect volumes amid constrained Strait of Hormuz traffic. Market-implied odds on near-term restarts reflect trader focus on Aramco’s parallel-line design allowing partial operations during repairs, tempered by uncertainty over spare-parts availability and ongoing regional security risks that could extend timelines or trigger further disruptions.
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Volume
$670,794End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Aramco is advancing bypass infrastructure around damaged pumping stations on the East-West Petroline after drone attacks on September 10 forced its shutdown, positioning the line to restore roughly half its prior 4–5 million barrel-per-day throughput within days and full capacity in approximately six weeks. The outage, representing 4–5% of global supply, has lifted Brent crude above $106 per barrel while prompting Aramco to defer European cargoes and redirect volumes amid constrained Strait of Hormuz traffic. Market-implied odds on near-term restarts reflect trader focus on Aramco’s parallel-line design allowing partial operations during repairs, tempered by uncertainty over spare-parts availability and ongoing regional security risks that could extend timelines or trigger further disruptions.
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Volume
$670,794End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Saudi Aramco is advancing bypass infrastructure around damaged pumping stations on the East-West Petroline after drone attacks on September 10 forced its shutdown, positioning the line to restore roughly half its prior 4–5 million barrel-per-day throughput within days and full capacity in approximately six weeks. The outage, representing 4–5% of global supply, has lifted Brent crude above $106 per barrel while prompting Aramco to defer European cargoes and redirect volumes amid constrained Strait of Hormuz traffic. Market-implied odds on near-term restarts reflect trader focus on Aramco’s parallel-line design allowing partial operations during repairs, tempered by uncertainty over spare-parts availability and ongoing regional security risks that could extend timelines or trigger further disruptions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions